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Old 09-21-2006, 12:07 AM
Nick C Nick C is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 10,145
Default Re: Folding bottom set

Interesting. I'm thinking MP will sometimes 3-bet JJ preflop, so those 3 combos should be discounted a little. But then there's also 44, and it's not as if you're actually crushing hands like JdTd and AdJd, although you are a healthy favorite against them.

So 6 combos have us crushed, the not-so-plentiful combo draws (maybe AdJd-JdTd for 4 combos and maybe Ad2d/Ad5d for two more, although I'm thinking Villain won't necessarily cold-call those weak suited aces preflop) are in bad but not horrible shape against us.

Possibly Villain gets tricky preflop with AA-QQ sometimes, though. And maybe he'll play AsJs and some worse hands this way when he's steaming.

By the way, I don't really know how NL200 plays, so to some extent I'm making all this up. I don't think this is a fold I would have found, though.
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