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Old 09-12-2006, 09:42 PM
James. James. is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: McFadden for Heisman
Posts: 5,963
Default Re: River Decision on Flush Board

i would bet. i think a guy like MP2 has a made hand like JT that got scared on the turn as much as a flush draw. i guess someone as tight/semi-passive as he may play a flush draw aggressively, but i sort of discount it. obviously that river card sucks for your hand, but if it didn't help them it would be just as scary to them as it is to you, so the times your hand is good it will often check through if you don't bet and as a result we lose value against relative calling stations. also, this is one of those spots that we are in better shape if we bet and get called as opposed to checking and calling a bet(i.e. if we are calling their bet we are very often losing). if we get raised i think we are almost always toast and maybe some action sequences would lend me closer to a fold than others, but given the pot size if i'm closing the action i will often at least consider calling(HU i would usually call, i think).
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