Thread: i flopped a pair + flush draw in a raised pot
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Old 08-31-2006, 05:56 PM
illegit illegit is offline
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Default Re: i flopped a pair + flush draw in a raised pot
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In a lower limit tourney I would figure the PRF for aces with 2 min-raises.

I would figure he's calling a push regardless and would probably just call and try to improve on the turn.

--Jeff

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So what is the problem if villain has aces? Push anyway.

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Anyone want to run the math? I'm at work, so no pokerstove. Assume villain's calling range (of our push) includes KQh, KJh, QJh, AA, TT, 33, AT, A3s and AK. Then throw in some Ax, Tx and pocket pairs that fold to the push. It all depends on villain's minraising range (it's a pretty terrible play with one pair) but I think the push is coming out to be -EV against most reasonable ranges.

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If villain only calls with this range plus occasional AK/AQ calls then we're 41% to win when called.
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