Re: 10/20 - AA - turn pairs Q; ABC player donks
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The correct question here instead would be... 'what are the chances that he is not holding a Q?'
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Fair enough. Based on my read, I thought the chances were small. But this is may be an argument about general strategy vs. the read I made at the time. If so, it's rather pointless.
In your view, is there no read that would make this fold correct?
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No, not really. Maybe if he had a very low WTS %... maybe.
But for me, the greater the likelihood that he holds the trip queens, the more aggressive I would be. Let me explain. Even if he is, as you say, a cautiously passive player on the turn; I would instead prefer to raise his bet on the turn, (and fold to a 3bet or river donk bet).
I simply wouldn't be able to find it in me to fold this turn. Him betting out has made it an easy call down for me, at the very least. Now if I was facing a check raise from a cautious player, that is what would give me pause for thought...
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