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Old 08-21-2006, 12:34 AM
godofgamblers godofgamblers is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 676
Default Re: Casino Classic, 1 hour Freeplay, profit becomes cashable 20X

This one definitely needs to be played as a sticky. The terms say 30xB, making it -EV for all games. War is only 50%, 3CP/Pairplus has a HA of about 3% with the ante according to wizardofodds, making it EV neutral if its 100% and definitely -EV if 50%, I'm not sure what it's classified under.

I think this site might be worth stickying actually, as they have $1 autoplay War with 3.7% HA from wizard. However with 12k wage requirements you stand to lose $444. So you'd have to get lucky somewhere and try to run $220 to $600 then autoplay the rest. For $20 it's a gamble, but I think the postive EV is very close/nonexistant. (I autoplayed casino War for 2000 hands before bother to figure this out mathematically, and was down to $150 steadily, so played it as a sticky but busted)

Edit: I have no idea how to calculate EV of single blackjack hands, but it would seem betting $220 and then betting $440 if you win is the way to go. Win 2 hands, you get $880 and have a EV of $+436. So you're basically risking $20 for $436 theoretically which is 1:22 odds about. No double/splitting would move up HA by a lot, but even 30% of winning an individual hand would yield 9% of the time winning twice, or 1:11 odds. This is the only way I see to beat the bonus, and it actually looks pretty damn good now except for it being very high variance. This bonus intrigued me which is why I'm posting so much about it [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
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