View Single Post
  #2  
Old 08-14-2006, 08:32 PM
Hakon Hakon is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 167
Default Re: ($55R) Ridiculously early bubble, 99 repush

If he folds 85% of the time and raises 100% of the time, it's simply an ICM question:

99 has a 57.831% equity against top 15% on the Karlson-Sklansky ranking (33+,A7o+,A4s+,KTs+).

EV fold: 0.167

EV all in and he folds: 0.1838
EV all in and he calls and you win: 0.2382
EV all in and he calls and you lose: 0

EV all in: 0.1838*0.85 + 0.2382*0.15*0.57831 + 0 = 0.177

Push is EV +1.0% [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote