Re: Shorting the Chiefs at 9.5 wins
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I believe the chiefs signed Ty Law just recently. Their starting DB's are top notch, with Law and Surtain.
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I am conceding that the Chiefs will be somewhat better defensively this year. Law is a big help (if he stays healthy), and Herm is a defensive-minded coach.
I just don't believe this improvement on defense will offset the hit the offense takes this year, I think the schedule is super-tough, and I think Edwards/Solari is a major downgrade from Vermeil/Saunders. I also think the retirement of Roaf is huge.
I see 7-9 for this team, maybe even 6-10. I can't see them posting a winning record. Chiefs fans don't realize how bad an in-game coach Herm is. He'll blow the play-caling in the 4th quarter 2 minute drill a couple of times and cost the team wins singlehandedly. He did it to the Jets every year.
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