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Old 07-08-2006, 05:02 AM
jafeather jafeather is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 1,391
Default Re: Push from SB with K9s

This is not a tough fold. You hate being in your SS situation here, but I'm not sure K9 in SB following a covering UTG AI is the place for you. Against your villians "very high probability range" you are on the very bad side of a coinflip coming in at just a hair over 44%.


equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 44.0048 % 43.69% 00.31% { Kh9h }
Hand 2: 55.9952 % 55.68% 00.31% { 88-22, A9s-A2s, A9o-A2o }

Considering that "very high probability" is topping out at 75...maybe 80% your hand here is very -EV.

Considering that ANY A here basically reverses the flip...
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 53.7170 % 45.11% 08.60% { AA, A7s+, A5s-A2s, A2o+ }
Hand 2: 46.2830 % 37.68% 08.60% { 88-22, A9s-A2s, A9o-A2o }

...yes, this is an easy fold, even with the dead money (which is so small it's hardly a consideration).
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