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Old 06-30-2006, 12:34 AM
McMelchior McMelchior is offline
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Join Date: May 2003
Location: WINNING #%$! flips ... OK?
Posts: 1,152
Default Re: How favorable was this chop?

(Risk of finishing 4th) * 2,400 + (Risk of finishing 3th) * 2,100 + (Risk of finishing 2nd) * 1,200 >> $400.

Let's say for arguments sake that one time of out 20 things go horrible wrong and you finish 4th. One time out of 10 you end up as #3. And one time out of 5 one of the other scoops up the small stacks and beat you HU.

Well, that's already $120 + $210 + $240 = $670. This is a very optimistic assessment.

You bought $670 for $400 = 68% profit. Nice.
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