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Old 06-27-2006, 11:45 PM
Nate tha\\\' Great Nate tha\\\' Great is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2003
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Default Re: Mistake #3. Mishandling the initiative.

I've been thinking some about the A7 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] hand. One thing to notice is that we will just about never fold a better hand with a bet, and that if opponent is trailing, he will have fewer outs than usual because any heart makes your hand. However, I think you may be overestimating the value of inducing a bluff in this spot. If you have not improved by the turn, then you are not much of a favorite against a random hand, and a decent opponent will be giving up with a lot of hopeless unmade hands. In other words, I don't think that there's terribly much overlay in the calldown that your check-behind sets up.
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