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Old 06-25-2006, 02:02 AM
Mossberg Mossberg is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 3,824
Default Re: what does \"not a large enough sample size\" mean?

The stats look like those of a winning player and your winrate looks pretty. But, what people usually mean when they say "not a big enough sample size" is that YOU HAVE NO IDEA ABOUT THE VARIANCE YOU WILL ENCOUNTER IN THIS GAME.

SH Limit is full of more ups and downs than any normal person could handle. I got lucky and ran at 4.5bb/100 for my 1st 45k hands. But for the past 40k hands, I've been slightly better than breakeven and am now at 2.25bb/100 over 85k hands at 3/6 6m.
In the past 40k i can very confidently say I've played infinitely better than my 1st 45k, and despite my improved play I've endured a 250bb downswing, a 200bb, 2 150's and more 100's than you could imagine (since the beginning of May).

This game sucks and you can't let it trick you into thinking your a solid winner after 10,20,30 or even 40 thousand hands.
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