[Six]

Ok, ok, it's not all that close. Even those numbers don't give the whole picture though. If we get UTG to fold and MP calls it looks more like this:

29,700 games 0.015 secs 1,980,000 games/sec

Board: 2d 4h Qc
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 17.1212 % 16.80% 00.32% { AsKs }
Hand 2: 82.8788 % 82.56% 00.32% { TT+, AQs, AQo }

The big question becomes how often does this happen, and how often do we get an absolutely free showdown if it does. Not enough, I'd wager, and it's not all that close given how many assumptions we're making. You could quantify it, but I think we may have already spent enough time with this one.

-Tim