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Old 06-22-2006, 10:06 AM
jason1990 jason1990 is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 932
Default Re: The envelope problem, and a possible solution

The EV of the envelope is not relevant. What matters is the conditional EV of switching, which is always well-defined and finite. It "makes sense" to switch if the conditional probability, p, that the other envelope is larger, satisfies p>1/3. The value p is always a well-defined number between 0 and 1.
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