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Old 06-21-2006, 01:03 PM
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Default Re: The Ass end of a straight draw

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Out of curiosity, why is a PFR so bad here?

Pokerstoved, giving SB a random range (it's prob. pretty close to that) and MP1 a fairly wide range (say 22-99, A2s-ATs, A2o-AJo, KTo+, QTo+, JTo, K9s-KQs, QTs-QJs, JTs, T9s), we've got a very slight equity advantage. While we're OOP, taking control of the hand helps that out a lot. Neither SB or MP has showed much strength and we're very likely buying this pot on the flop.

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Using poker stove for looking at pf decisions is pretty inaccurate. First we're dealing with unknowns. You really have no idea what the range of an unknown is in the abs 5/10 fr game unless you've played tens of thousands of hands there. For example, giving sb a random range isn't even close to accurate. The other more important problem is that pf equity doesn't translate directly into post flop EV.

Even though this isn't the exact same thing I think this post by TStone about openlimping OTB against two loose players in the blinds gets the point across as to why raising here isn't good. http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showfl...rue#Post4320454
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