View Single Post
  #14  
Old 06-19-2006, 08:28 PM
llabb llabb is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 1,321
Default Re: Men\'s Wimbledon Early Prices

[ QUOTE ]
If you could guarantee me that Blake would never have to face Roger, he'd be a steal [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Sounds reasonable. Since he made the finals of the Queen's Club, Blake's come down from +3700 to +2800. Depending on the draw, he could still be a decent value to make the quarters or semi's. (By taking him to win, then hedging out once he makes the quarters or semis. Does anyone know a better way to do that? Other than also betting each individual game.)

Even without having the draw yet, I'm putting a little on Hewitt at +1500. It's come down from +2000 since Hewitt won the Queen's. Hewitt seems to be coming back to form, and he is a former Wimbledon champion who has won out there and only lost to Federer in the last two years (16-3 in Wimbledon over the last 4 years, with 2 of the losses against Fed). If Hewitt is in a different portion of the draw than Fed (roughly 75% chance), I like him to make the semi's with a good shot at the finals. Worth putting some on him now imo, and will probably put more on him later if the draw is favorable.

Roddick looking worse, after losing in straight sets to Blake, who then lost in straight sets to Hewitt. Nadal being tied for 4th favorite is ridiculous. Current Pinny odds, posted just to see how later odds will compare.


R. Federer -246
A. Roddick +1513
L. Hewitt +1513
R. Nadal +2022
M. Ancic +2015
J. Blake +2777
D. Nalbandian +3565
T. Henman +4085
I. Ljubicic +5088
A. Murray +7798
I. Karlovic +8339
M. Safin +8883
M. Baghdatis +10533
S. Grosjean +13340
R. Gasquet +13886
N. Djokovic +15758
A. Agassi +17500
T. Johansson +17035
T. Berdych +5365
T. Dent +17035
T. Haas +10872
N. Kiefer +17500
X. Malisse +17500
D. Tursunov +13886
M. Mirnyi +17500
G. Monfils +17500
G. Rusedski +17500
M. Philippoussis +17500
M. Fish +17500
R. Stepanek +17500
Reply With Quote