Re: 10-man paid satelite bubble: Was this suicide?
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Were you there? Hero's read is that he's ahead. He's way ahead if villain's range includes many underpairs. Hero has clearly stated that villain is very loose. The worst thing to do to a player is make them second guess their read because YOU see monsters under the bed.
With hero's read this is a fold in a satellite, but this is not a satellite. This is a tournament with ~60% of the prize pool remaining going to the top 3 spots, or 45% going to 1st. Focusing on 10th is just incorrect.
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I think villain's read is optimistic.
Here half the pool is split evenly between 2-10th and the other half goes to first. I also think it is optimistic to make an approximately even gamble for all your chips at this point when doubling up does not give you that geat a shot at first.
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