View Single Post
  #16  
Old 06-07-2006, 05:06 PM
Hielko Hielko is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 1,468
Default Re: Overcards hand from review session

[ QUOTE ]
So our equity is just barely good enough for betting to be +EV if they all call with exactly the same ranges as you put them on now. Big whoop. Once some call and some fold, the worst portions of their ranges drop out, our equity goes down, and our "fair share" equity goes up. Our edge dies a pointless death. Yeeehaw. More like Heeeehaw.

[/ QUOTE ]
I'm not a fan of a bet (see my first reply :P), but i'm trying to show it can't be very bad to bet even when you won't get a freecard most of the time. Also note that my pokerstove range includes everything from 78s to AA (I'm lazy, so I just select top 50% of hands or something like that...).

I don't think we have a real value edge here when we bet, but we are probably only losing a very very very small partial bet. If this bet will buy us a freecard that could win us the pot + give us some large bets on the river I think it is close between checking and betting.
Reply With Quote