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Old 05-28-2006, 03:12 PM
stoxtrader stoxtrader is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2003
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Default Re: Modeling my skirt for Fianchetto

The pre-flop overlimp can easily be a fold since a solid player limps UTG and there are still a few to act behind you. It's close, ATo I think a fold is clear.

The turn play is good. You will occasionally throw away the best hand, but definitely not enough to pay for the times you are not best and have to pay more than even just 2BB to find out.

at the time of your turn decision you are getting 7:1, but when you are ahead you don't win as much as you lose when you are behind on average, so you need to be good here considerably more than the immediate 7:1 odds you are getting on the turn. likely, you need to be good here even more than the 3.5:1 you are getting to see a showdown if you pay 1 BB each street.

Further, lots of the times you are good, you will get drawn on the river and pay 2BB to find out.

I don't think it's an easy fold, but I think the fold is good. Particularly with two still to act behind you and one is superlag.
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