Re: Value bet A-hi?
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A bet here has expected value of somewhere between zero and negative money. Instead, you can check/call and let him bluff a bet to you on his busted draw.
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He'll bet a busted draw on the river but he didnt semibluff the turn with a FD? Not likely
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he might have been doing the free card trick, and then decided to take a shot on the river
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LAG: He's not the kind of player who will raise the PFR on the flop on a semibluff and then take a free card on the turn. Not impossible. Just less likely.
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