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Old 05-17-2006, 09:17 AM
Sushiglutton Sushiglutton is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Searching for fish
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Default Re: More about position

[ QUOTE ]

In a 10 player table, usually at least one person has premium cards in preflop. If the round is indeed folded to me, then, itīs likely that some one behind me holds those premium cards. That leaves me with a less good hand against a premium hand.



[/ QUOTE ]

This is the wrong way to think. The probability that someone has a good hand is (almost) independent from what the other players have. That means that if each player has a 10% chance to have a good hand and five players fold to u, the players behind still have 10% chance each to have a premium hand.

Let's say u are UTG. Now there are nine people behind u. The chance that at least one holds a premium hand is:

1-0.9^9 = 60% (approx) (1-the chance nobody has a hand)


If u are on the button and everyone folded to u:

1-0.9^2 = 20% (approx)

So the risk that somebody has a hand is much lower on the button when 7 players have folded than UTG.
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