Re: Ed Miller DVD hand?
There are about 59 combos that give either guy a flush, set, or two pair and about 139 that give them Kx, or the A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. If we assume that P1 will bet any of these combos we beat we should be good against him ~ 70% of the time. P2 would have to have one of the 44 combos that beat us > 75% of those times for folding to be right. (75% is obviously too high)
I say 3 bet for value, and to possibly drive out the original bettor if he has a hand like K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. Having said that what do you do if a club hits and the guy bets? Getting 10:1 (and after having shown tramendous strength on the flop) do you think we're good >10% here? I know Ed's really against folding "good" hands when the pot is big but I'm not sure if this one is even close.
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