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Old 04-20-2006, 11:08 PM
Adam Stewart Adam Stewart is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
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Default Re: AK top two river fold




What are you putting the villain on? After his turn check/raise, the likely culprits that beat you are AJ, AT, KQ, and A3. However, other possible holdings inlcude AA, JJ, TT, Ax. (AA, JJ, TT are less likely due to simple mathematical probability, and because villain did not cap preflop).

This is a good reason for not re-raising the turn. In fact, an arguement could be made that calling the turn check-raise was a thin call - but against an unknown, I'm not folding here either.


The river, however, helps you, and you now beat a number of villain's likley holdings.

A river call is justified.



Edit: after further review, the villain's river check-raise is somewhat odd. It's very likely you're beat by a Queen or even a fancy played KK. However, I still think you need to call, especially against an unknown.


Adam
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