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Old 04-19-2006, 03:17 AM
Ortho Ortho is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Enfield TA
Posts: 1,080
Default 27: I can\'t possibly fold here, can I?

When I put reasonably loose ranges for the smaller stacks (top 15% for button, top 10% for CO and SB) and the rather wide range, which I feel is pretty accurate for BB who has been raising every hand and can fold but will call reasonably loose (22+,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,A2o+,KTo+,QTo+,JTo), I get this as a break-even push, losing $.02. I am quite surprised at this result. However, in spite of that, my intuition just screams that I have to be pushing this anyway. Am I wrong? I currently can't imagine folding this, but I've gotten a few like this in roughly this spot in the past couple of days with small pairs where SNGPT has given them as +/- .2% and I'm getting confused.

Additionally in this hand, BB is opening 3x literally every hand and stealing from the button or sb is quite unlikely--I'm going to have to race against BB to get chips or hope that he busts everyone else. While I'd like advice on the general situation, I feel that even if the advice is that I should be folding my small pairs here, I probably should take this break-even gamble in this spot because of that game condition.

PokerStars Tournament, Big Blind is t200 (5 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

Hero (t1480)
CO (t1080)
Button (t3235)
SB (t1555)
BB (t6150)

Preflop: Hero is in UTG with 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
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