[Exitonly]

alright, this shouold be real easy to figure out dunno why anynone hasnt yet.

BB is random,
button i gave KTs-K7s,Q9s-Q7s,J7s+,T8s+,97s+,86s+,75s+,64s+,53s+,KTo-K6o,J5o+,T6o+,96o+,85o+,75o+,64o+,53o+
which is kinda a crazy range, but i duunno how to represent what the [censored] he could be limping with here. Not too strong, but not complete garbage.. but all the ranges i played around with all had similar equities on this flop so doesnt matter much.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

42,738,864 games 54.344 secs 786,450 games/sec

Board: 8h 8d 5h
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 35.2949 % 33.21% 02.08% { random }
Hand 2: 40.1072 % 37.40% 02.70% { KTs-K7s, Q9s-Q7s, J7s+, T8s+, 97s+, 86s+, 75s+, 64s+, 53s+, KTo-K6o, J5o+, T6o+, 96o+, 85o+, 75o+, 64o+, 53o+ }
Hand 3: 24.5979 % 22.50% 02.10% { 9h6c }

24.5979% of the pot,
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Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

31,836,977 games 21.156 secs 1,504,867 games/sec

Board: 8h 8d 5h
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 58.7688 % 55.78% 02.99% { random }
Hand 2: 41.2312 % 38.24% 02.99% { 9h6c }

41.2312% of the pot.

So, by getting button to fold, we gain 16.6333% of the pot.

we're risking ~30% of the pot, so i think, is he folds a little less than half the time here, it's +cEV. and i think he folds way more than that.

Awesome post, the numbers worked out a lot better than i'd have thouogh. (if i didnt botch them)


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Edit:

also, thats assuming that when he calls your 2000, that you're toast, which you're not.. but that probably balances out with him not alwys checking it down (and you not seeing all 5 cards and having that 26% equity)