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Search: Posts Made By: whynot?
Forum: STT Strategy 11-21-2007, 09:21 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 118
Posted By whynot?
Re: Early Step 5 - do you call this

i didnt but was really more interested in what hands youd put this guy on when youve been active. i really think a missed flush/str8 is a large part of his range
Forum: STT Strategy 11-21-2007, 09:11 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 118
Posted By whynot?
Re: Early Step 5 - do you call this

sorry

but this guys a winning player - theres no way he's checking two streets with aa, qq, jj, or any other hand that gives him 2 pair on the turn - way too many draws out there. i'll certainly...
Forum: STT Strategy 11-21-2007, 08:40 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 118
Posted By whynot?
Re: Early Step 5 - do you call this

what can he have ?

would he play a set or two pair like this on this draw heavy board?

the most logical holdings for him are a missed draw/str8 or both.

the only hand i could put him on that...
Forum: STT Strategy 11-21-2007, 08:28 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 118
Posted By whynot?
Early Step 5 - do you call this

so heres the deal

early in a pca step 5 - table had been very tight and i opened up to attempt to get some easy chips. villain in this hand is the only other winning table (in truth didnt scope...
Forum: High Stakes MTT 11-21-2007, 11:31 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 171
Posted By whynot?
Re: 330$ live - final table K7s vs chip leader

this is just an awkward stack size

too big to jam

making 2.5-3 times just opens you up for him to come over the top

i just flat this and play aggressive on the flop -
Forum: High Stakes MTT 11-15-2007, 09:48 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 129
Posted By whynot?
Re: FTOPS 1 tough spot JJ oop

man

you reraise for over 30% of your stack then check the flop and check/call the turn. I think your line looks exactly like tt-qq and villain knows that.

you're pre reraise can easily be...
Forum: High Stakes MTT 11-12-2007, 12:34 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 92
Posted By whynot?
Re: FTOPS TT on Money Bubble

Draw heavy board and villain flats pre and overshoves post

this sure seems like a made hand afraid of the flush draw or a big draw. maybe conservative, but putting him on a range of 55-jj, AKsp,...
Forum: High Stakes MTT 11-11-2007, 08:34 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 85
Posted By whynot?
Re: FTP $330 Mill., stupid turn spot facing overbet

seems like a Q without a heart that doesnt want the draw to hit to me
Forum: STT Strategy 10-29-2007, 02:59 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 38
Posted By whynot?
Step 5 - CL vs second in chips - QQ hand

Guys

Here's the drill. 6 left in step 5, I'm CL. With 4000 chips. Big joe is immediately to my right and second in chips with about 3200. Payouts are top 2 go to step 6 (2100), 3 and 4 get redo...
Forum: STT Strategy 10-23-2007, 05:03 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 40
Posted By whynot?
Re: sat question

i muck this

its just like near the bubble of one of the mtts - you're in if you dont risk your stack - if shortie wins beat up the mid stack cus he cant call as long as theres a stack about 1/2...
Forum: STT Strategy 10-23-2007, 04:43 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 33
Posted By whynot?
Re: PCA Step 5 - Easy Preflop decision with TT ...>>.????

[ QUOTE ]
It's a results oriented post.

[/ QUOTE ]

so maybe it is, but i do think theres an academic exercise here to do an icm analysis around the step payouts. im too lazy to model the 6...
Forum: STT Strategy 10-22-2007, 07:04 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 33
Posted By whynot?
Re: PCA Step 5 - Easy Preflop decision with TT ...>>.????

guys

of course i called and of course i lost a race but that really isnt the issue - this isnt a results oriented post but more of a icm kind of thing that im too lazy to model

i'm assuming...
Forum: STT Strategy 10-22-2007, 03:55 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 33
Posted By whynot?
PCA Step 5 - Easy Preflop decision with TT ...>>.????

ok - heres the drill

five left in a step 5. im in fourth place with approximately 1700 chips. blinds are 75/150. table has been reasonably active, most times raise gets the pot, if not its...
Forum: High Stakes MTT 10-18-2007, 05:25 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 87
Posted By whynot?
Re: PCA - Step 6

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Seat 1: Hero (12485 in chips)
Seat 2: 1(7694 in chips)
Seat 3: 2(9978 in chips)
Seat 5: 3(4071 in chips)
Seat 7: 4(7435 in chips)
Seat 9: Villain_ (12337 in chips)
...
Forum: High Stakes MTT 10-18-2007, 04:31 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 85
Posted By whynot?
tricky spot with 99?

ok - this is the 50k guarantee (55 buyin) so banish me if you wish, but think this is a bit of an interesting spot of pot odds/chipping up and ranges you put the villains on. asked several folks and...
Forum: High Stakes MTT 10-18-2007, 04:23 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 87
Posted By whynot?
Re: PCA - Step 6

you have double the chips basically of the third place guy - chances of winning a seat probably 65%+. chances of winning the hand against villains shove probably 60%ish.

easy fold imo - if it...
Forum: High Stakes MTT 10-10-2007, 05:15 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 385
Posted By whynot?
Re: Common spot i suck at

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
So we either shove and hope to prompt worse hands to call or we play it to represent the king. I personally would do my best to rep the king - I think a c/c on the turn and a...
Forum: High Stakes MTT 10-10-2007, 03:06 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 385
Posted By whynot?
Re: Common spot i suck at

So we either shove and hope to prompt worse hands to call or we play it to represent the king. I personally would do my best to rep the king - I think a c/c on the turn and a lead on the turn reps...
Forum: High Stakes MTT 10-04-2007, 09:50 AM
Replies: 32
Views: 145
Posted By whynot?
Re: Hand you couldn\'t possibly begin to understand

Clearly theres something going on here so much bigger then poker.

"Hero" certainly sees and understands this and is trying to decipher the exact situation and the next actions. So lets look at...
Forum: High Stakes MTT 09-24-2007, 12:23 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 64
Posted By whynot?
Re: WCOOP: QQ, river decision

so villain plays pre weak, by limping/calling, you make a standard cbet and he flats on a dry board.

you show more weakness on the turn by checking and he bets and you flat - so he's got to be...
Forum: High Stakes MTT 09-14-2007, 11:35 AM
Replies: 51
Views: 399
Posted By whynot?
Re: JJ in sb versus BelowAbove

[ QUOTE ]
metagame as defined by you simply does not matter in this context. Or this early. Or ever really. Your line looks like "wtf? goofball." rather than "Don't [censored] with me...
Forum: High Stakes MTT 09-13-2007, 09:53 AM
Replies: 51
Views: 399
Posted By whynot?
Re: JJ in sb versus BelowAbove

it was on pxf and as i look back it was a mix between flatting and folding. the general consensus on folding was that in essence its a small mistake early versus a potentially large mistake of...
Forum: High Stakes MTT 09-13-2007, 08:47 AM
Replies: 51
Views: 399
Posted By whynot?
Re: JJ in sb versus BelowAbove

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
guys

i really think theres a metagame factor. "sending a message" to below we cant be pushed around i think is very important.

[/ QUOTE ]
Forum: High Stakes MTT 09-12-2007, 02:39 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 233
Posted By whynot?
Re: Borgata $500 Day 2: Overpair facing flop C/R from UTG limp/call

I fold here barring a read on villain that he's a lagtard or that you've been overly active

The key here with his move, you're either way behind or only slightly ahead. Barring the above, this is...
Forum: High Stakes MTT 09-12-2007, 10:33 AM
Replies: 51
Views: 399
Posted By whynot?
Re: JJ in sb versus BelowAbove

"metagame is overrated, esp when it means being knocked out of this tourney and not being in a single spot against below for 100 more tourneys, etc.
Raising sucks hardcore"

so ok - so you flat...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 455

 
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