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Forum: Poker Theory 09-15-2007, 03:37 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 91
Posted By Pauwl
Re: What are the key elements that lead to better decision-making in poker

Don't act too fast. A lot of people make quick decisions that upon closer reflection would reveal themselves to be poor.

General question, general answer.
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 08-31-2007, 11:39 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 170
Posted By Pauwl
Re: Sunshine (movie)

All around horrible. If you're thinking "yeah, crappy plot, but sci-fi is cool" you'll be very disappointed.
Forum: Probability 08-19-2007, 10:54 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 100
Posted By Pauwl
Re: Counting combos

Here's a simple example of how combinations can apply to evaluating a hand.

I raise preflop with AA, Villain reraises, I smooth call.

I assume my opponent has either KK or QQ. (a simple range...
Forum: Poker Theory 08-11-2007, 09:46 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 52
Posted By Pauwl
Re: Math question

18 outs as stated above.


Hitting the turn + MIssing the turn and hitting the river
18/47 + (29/47)x(18/46) = 0.6244 or 62.44%

To do it the quick way, just multiply your total outs by 4,...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 08-07-2007, 08:03 PM
Replies: 72
Views: 257
Posted By Pauwl
Re: Misconceptions about Me, Baye\'s, Rigor, Exodus, Evolution

[ QUOTE ]

Slightly tougher one. There are ten coins in a jar. One is heavily weighted towards heads. 90%. You pick a coin and flip three heads. The total chances that could happen is 1/10 x .729...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-28-2007, 07:43 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 53
Posted By Pauwl
Re: Preflop all-in (No limit Hold\'em theory and practice)

I assume you're referring to the example where you are being offering 2:1 pot odds. Your break even equity for that bet would be 1/3 or 33.33333%. TT has an equity of 33.654% against JJ+,AK. Making...
Forum: STT Strategy 06-19-2007, 08:37 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 25
Posted By Pauwl
$11: 99 on the button with 14bb

I didn't know what to do for this hand. It felt too deep to open shove and folding to a reraise after I open raised the button felt weak. Villains are standard any two suited retard limpers, but they...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 05-05-2007, 02:47 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 108
Posted By Pauwl
Re: How Do You Think?

I've always mostly thought as an inner dialogue, but the dialogue is faster than I can speak. Since I was younger, I always wondered how a deaf and blind person would think. Most people use a...
Forum: Probability 04-05-2007, 03:45 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 97
Posted By Pauwl
Re: Estimating fold equity

Without considering card removal due to your hand. He will hold that range 27.6% of the time and will hence fold 72.4% of the time.

To calculate this you can just use combinations.
16...
Forum: Probability 04-02-2007, 12:47 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 83
Posted By Pauwl
Re: EV of Moving In from the SB

I assume that you had 5bb to start the hand before posting your Small Blind. So here is how I calculate the EV of a push.

EVshove = %Fold x EVfold + %Call x EVcall

EVfold = 1.5bb (the pot...
Forum: Poker Theory 04-01-2007, 07:10 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 111
Posted By Pauwl
Re: Recognize your leaks

You can post hands on an internet message board. I would suggest 2+2. /images/graemlins/grin.gif
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 03-11-2007, 03:51 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 72
Posted By Pauwl
Re: Proseletizing

People who truly believe that non-believers are going to be sent to hell will try anything to save their souls. If God is just, then us heathens deserve hell and they shouldn't be trying to disrupt...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 02-25-2007, 05:08 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 58
Posted By Pauwl
Re: X-Posted from OOT - James Cameron finds Jesus\' Tomb

"gg Christianity."

lol, OOT is pretty funny sometimes.

I wonder how much controversy this will actually create. It depends on the validity of their evidence (dna, etc). It's enough to make me...
Forum: Special Sklansky Forum 02-25-2007, 04:34 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 133
Posted By Pauwl
Re: A Request For A Calculation About My Last Tournament Hand

I don't know how to factor in overcalls and with that many players behind you it might be a poor assumption that you will only get one caller, but that's what I used and it was still +EV to shove...
Forum: Poker Theory 02-21-2007, 01:55 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 67
Posted By Pauwl
Re: Half blinds in limit - how to take advantage

Play really tight. You're getting really crappy odds to limp in. I guess this is the opposite of having antes. Antes promote action, this set up will just kill it.
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 02-20-2007, 07:27 PM
Replies: 111
Views: 350
Posted By Pauwl
Re: How did life begin?

I think there was a couple possible scenarios listed in The Blind Watchmaker that were really basic replicators. I think crystals was one of them.

btw, the primordial ooze theory was proven to be...
Forum: Other Other Topics 02-19-2007, 04:19 AM
Replies: 25
Views: 347
Posted By Pauwl
Re: Throwing up bile

Sip Ginger Ale. This is what my doctor suggested to me when I got food poisoning a few weeks ago. It's very easy on your stomach and will help you towards digesting soup later on.
Forum: STT Strategy 02-18-2007, 03:25 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 28
Posted By Pauwl
$11: Bottom 2 Pair + FD

I usually only complete from the SB with hands like this during the 1st few levels when it only costs me like 1% of my stack to see a cheap flop. Is limping here bad?

How's my line post flop? No...
Forum: STT Strategy 02-15-2007, 12:11 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 29
Posted By Pauwl
$11: AKo facing two reraise pushes

SB has been playing too many hands and raising preflop earlier with hands that are weak (loves suited cards, etc). BB is solid but very short. This seemed like an easy call but I still hated it. What...
Forum: STT Strategy 02-04-2007, 03:43 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 26
Posted By Pauwl
Re: $11, 66 flop play?

Your raise on the flop is way too small to have any fold equity. You didn't even raise half the pot. You might as well just push and shut him down from drawing to overs.
Forum: STT Strategy 01-31-2007, 01:02 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 22
Posted By Pauwl
Re: 16: 19 outs on river vs all in

If you knew what he had, you have 18 outs.
9 clubs + 3 aces + 3 kings + 3 non-club deuces = 18 outs

Assuming that you know his hand is J7o(no clubs), then you are are drawing at 26:18 or 1.44:1...
Forum: Special Sklansky Forum 01-02-2007, 12:57 AM
Replies: 105
Views: 1,131
Posted By Pauwl
Re: $200 Sit N Go Question #3

Your options here are either call or fold, so I'll consider each option separately. Here are the possible outcomes for each option and your resulting chip stacks.

I'll use a number system to label...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 12-09-2006, 05:43 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 47
Posted By Pauwl
Christian Death

What was the point of Jesus dying? God recognized the infinite amount of sin that mankind was responsible for, so he sent his son to earth to die for our sins. What's the point of this blood...
Forum: Poker Theory 12-06-2006, 08:50 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 97
Posted By Pauwl
Re: EV Question

Since there is more than one player, you are more likely to get called and so your likelyhood of picking up the blinds goes down and you need a stronger hand.

You again put each player on a range...
Forum: Probability 12-04-2006, 02:35 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 54
Posted By Pauwl
Re: Set Becoming Full House?

If you just want the odds of finding a full house, then you have 6 outs on the flop. You actually have 1 out to make quads too.

To complete your full house on the turn, it would be:

6/47 =...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 147

 
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