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Forum: Poker Theory 11-27-2007, 03:03 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 66
Posted By plexiq
Re: STT - How will ROI change if I increase my ICM edge?

Short answer: Passing up small +EV spots will not automatically increase your ROI. It may as well lower your ROI.

Trivial example: If you set your min-edge to 100%, you will not play a single...
Forum: Poker Theory 11-25-2007, 03:26 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 183
Posted By plexiq
Re: Fictitious play for multi-player games

@juk:
The problem with your approach is imo, that pusher & caller are treated differently. The caller is basically playing some non-zero-sum version of minimax, while the pusher sticks to maximally...
Forum: Poker Theory 11-24-2007, 02:27 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 103
Posted By plexiq
Re: influence rake/fee on eqrebilum play solution cash/sng/mtt

For SnGs/MTTs:
Fees dont matter for the NE, the equilibrium will stay the same.

Raked Cash game:
I'd expect slightly looser pushing & considerably tighter calling for a raked HU NE. It's not...
Forum: Poker Theory 11-23-2007, 07:42 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 267
Posted By plexiq
Re: Long Shot Poker

Going for Boat/Quads while blocking his Straightflush-Outs should work too?

Assuming no misses:
H: Ts Y: 9h
H: Js Y: 9s
H: Qs Y: 9d
H: Ks Y: As

Now it gets tricky. We have 3 Shots...
Forum: Poker Theory 11-23-2007, 04:51 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 53
Posted By plexiq
Re: Does anybody calculate the odds of a player getting dealt a card?

[ QUOTE ]
You have the 2nd nuts, but if he has an A he takes the pot. Right now you have 3:5 pot odds. And the odds of him getting dealt an A is 2:13. The odds are in your favor to call...
Forum: Poker Theory 11-22-2007, 05:31 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 183
Posted By plexiq
Re: Fictitious play for multi-player games

I guess the challenge here is:
Can we model the "strategy-negotiation process" in a way, such that the Caller eventually "realizes" that its profitable for him to stay at a wider call range, given...
Forum: Poker Theory 11-21-2007, 03:03 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 183
Posted By plexiq
Re: Fictitious play for multi-player games

@trojanrabbit
After the push is made, there is no value in calling looser (if we assume that looser calling will not effect the pushers future range) - right.

I understand the problem you...
Forum: Poker Theory 11-21-2007, 01:42 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 183
Posted By plexiq
Re: Fictitious play for multi-player games

Here s the code. Possibly quite buggy, was coding this while trying to construct a toy game. (You need R to run this: www.r-project.org/ ) (http://www.r-project.org/))

<font...
Forum: Poker Theory 11-21-2007, 12:29 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 183
Posted By plexiq
Re: Fictitious play for multi-player games

@Paxinor
Well, the Caller can not only punish the loose pusher. If we assume a non-robotic Pusher, who will adjust to the loose calling, the Callers EQ will in fact significantly increase.

In...
Forum: Poker Theory 11-21-2007, 10:54 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 183
Posted By plexiq
Re: Fictitious play for multi-player games

What we want to simulate here, is the SB-vs-BB "subgame", after n other players folded. ICM isnt zero sum in this situation (if we only look at the involved players).
Forum: Poker Theory 11-21-2007, 10:01 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 183
Posted By plexiq
Re: Fictitious play for multi-player games

Ok, here is a toy game featuring a "spite-calling" situation:

Basic game is the same as in Math of Poker, pg 127.

*) Every player is dealt a hand in [0...1].
*) SB ("Pusher") can push or fold...
Forum: Poker Theory 11-20-2007, 03:24 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 183
Posted By plexiq
Re: Fictitious play for multi-player games

Kind of forgot about this thread, sorry /images/graemlins/smile.gif

[ QUOTE ]
A perfect example is when there is a big stack bullying the table near the bubble. Nash says the big stack should...
Forum: Probability 11-17-2007, 06:48 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 114
Posted By plexiq
Re: Looking for event-based random number generator

If i understand correctly, you want a gaussian looking sample with an exact mean/sd?

All you have to do is generate some kind of gaussian sample, and then transform it by:

sample_mean = mean(x...
Forum: Poker Theory 11-15-2007, 05:43 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 183
Posted By plexiq
Re: Fictitious play for multi-player games

[ QUOTE ]
This seems to fly in the face of what I know about NE states though, as it shouldn't be possible for a player to deviate profitably from a NE (assuming the above algorithm really does...
Forum: STT Strategy 11-12-2007, 11:22 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 352
Posted By plexiq
Re: Nash Equilibrium charts

Basically, the calling ranges can be used no matter what the pushing ranges are. The "chart-callers" EV will be minimized if the pusher is shoving w/ the upper chart. So, if the pusher deviates from...
Forum: STT Strategy 11-12-2007, 03:53 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 352
Posted By plexiq
Re: Nash Equilibrium charts

Interesting idea, and would not be much of a change to the implementation. I'll look into this once i have some extra spare time /images/graemlins/smile.gif
Forum: Small Stakes 11-11-2007, 08:04 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 110
Posted By plexiq
Re: Tough fishy cause he\'s so fishy

Hand 1: I probably play check turn and call a small bet - fold if he bets big &amp; has reasonably low turn AF. River check/call. But im probably missing a lot value against this type of players.
Forum: STT Strategy 11-09-2007, 01:06 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 352
Posted By plexiq
Re: Nash Equilibrium charts

It always applies. But you always look up the smaller stack in the chart, the bigger stack is irrelevant.
Forum: STT Strategy 11-09-2007, 11:18 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 30
Posted By plexiq
Re: Homemade STT

Your not getting responses because the answer is obvious.

If you are, as you say, the best player on the table, it's probably good for you to be as deep as possible. You will not be able to rebuy...
Forum: STT Strategy 11-09-2007, 06:27 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 352
Posted By plexiq
Re: Nash Equilibrium charts

SAGE is a simplification of the NE. It gives up some edge, but is much easier to memorize.
Forum: STT Strategy 11-09-2007, 05:29 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 352
Posted By plexiq
Re: Nash Equilibrium charts

@ger664:
These charts have nothing to do w/ ICM. In fact, they only apply when cEV=$EV. (As it is the case headsup, but *not* in &gt;2-handed SB-vs-BB situations).

But what you meant is, i guess:...
Forum: STT Strategy 11-07-2007, 08:22 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 352
Posted By plexiq
Re: Nash Equilibrium charts

Here you go:
http://www.holdemresources.net/hr/sngs/hune.html
Forum: STT Strategy 11-06-2007, 06:25 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 97
Posted By plexiq
Re: AQ hand SNGPT is telling me to fold.

The CO should be on ATC, and definitely much looser than OP's estimates. This is a pretty easy call if we can assume the CO is at least halfway decent.

ICM tools will show this as push when you...
Forum: STT Strategy 11-06-2007, 09:28 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 75
Posted By plexiq
Re: Tough decision at the bubble

Push pre is best i think. Standard raise gives the BB the opportunity to resteal w/ a huge range.
Forum: STT Strategy 11-06-2007, 03:32 AM
Replies: 65
Views: 425
Posted By plexiq
Re: $235 6-man [censored] me with a chainsaw

Ugh, i should get my first coffee before firing up 2p2 in the morning /images/graemlins/smile.gif

The points made about the SB folding some of the worst hands seem interesting, but i just cant...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 138

 
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