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Forum: Poker Theory 11-30-2007, 01:26 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 535
Posted By ShaneP
Re: Which draw is superior?

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Here is a pretty good breakdown of why A /images/graemlins/heart.gifJ /images/graemlins/heart.gif is a superior drawing hand...

FLOP: K /images/graemlins/heart.gifQ...
Forum: Probability 11-11-2007, 02:35 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 1,421
Posted By ShaneP
Re: DEAL or NO DEAL (TV Game Show) How Decide?

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Bankers offer is always -EV.

The time to deal is only really when the amount becomes significant to you.

How does that paradigm (3 doors, pick 1, shown one of the ones thats a booby...
Forum: Poker Legislation 11-10-2007, 07:16 PM
Replies: 52
Views: 554
Posted By ShaneP
Re: The Engineer is yellow...

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I don't agree with the ban. But I do understand Mason's position on this matter. I realize that TE's posts are not official statements, thoughts or ideas of the PPA. Frankly, it seems...
Forum: Brick and Mortar 11-09-2007, 05:51 AM
Replies: 64
Views: 484
Posted By ShaneP
Re: Cheating at Bellagio Poker Room

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Cheating at the Belagio Poker Room

A must move 5-10 no limit game is called on table 31 at 4pm. Tommy, a 20’ish asian sits in seat 1, an asian girl Sue sits beside him in seat 2. ...
Forum: Poker Theory 11-07-2007, 03:44 AM
Replies: 24
Views: 237
Posted By ShaneP
Re: For people who think running it twice changes EV

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To summarize, running it twice doesn't change EV. However, this explanation was terrible, incorrect, and not convincing to anyone who was not ready to be convinced.


[/...
Forum: Poker Theory 11-06-2007, 11:14 PM
Replies: 24
Views: 237
Posted By ShaneP
Re: For people who think running it twice changes EV

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Running it twice is done to cut down on variance, right?

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Psychologically wise.... yes.

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Forum: RakeReduction.com Rakeback 11-06-2007, 12:18 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 155
Posted By ShaneP
Re: AP scams again, or still

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Ok, well guess what, your wrong! On all your points. SO mabee you should check your facts b4 responding. And as allways you respond in true 2+2 rudeness. Good for u.

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Forum: Internet Gambling 10-27-2007, 01:41 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 50
Posted By ShaneP
Re: stars data policy- how to block stats from OPR

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Why do you care so much?

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Why do you care why he cares so much?

So OP wants to keep his stats private. It's a legit question. Maybe he wants to keep the donks from...
Forum: Student Life 10-22-2007, 04:42 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 111
Posted By ShaneP
Re: Econ HW - Expected Value

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For some reason this isn't making sense to me, so hopefully I can get the right answer here.

Question: What is the expected value of a random toss of a die? (Fair and six-sided.)
...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-22-2007, 04:24 AM
Replies: 45
Views: 375
Posted By ShaneP
Re: Variance is Fractal

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The very nature of what variance "IS", is fractal. This makes every process both of the transparent and non transparent kind also fractal.


[/ QUOTE ]...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-22-2007, 01:16 AM
Replies: 45
Views: 375
Posted By ShaneP
Re: Variance is Fractal

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The very nature of what variance "IS", is fractal. This makes every process both of the transparent and non transparent kind also fractal.


[/ QUOTE ]

variance is due to...
Forum: Internet Gambling 10-20-2007, 01:48 AM
Replies: 123
Views: 859
Posted By ShaneP
Re: Open Challenge to 2+2 Community

actually don't you mean it's mind BOTTLING?

OMG, a chip leader had to put in a bit more money to knock out a player and did? and wow, a 10% event happened? Sure convinced me...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-18-2007, 11:11 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 301
Posted By ShaneP
Re: why am i so bad?

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thank you for some of the input.

i think ione of my biggest problems is my ego gets involved. i think "anyone can play tight. but a good player would be able to play some less than...
Forum: Probability 10-14-2007, 11:26 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 94
Posted By ShaneP
Re: Why is Deal or No Deal not the Monte Hall problem?

Well, I might not be understanding something totally, but I'll put things in a different way to show why the 50/50 versus 90/10. I'm not sure why your friend is fixated on a specific card, so I...
Forum: Probability 10-14-2007, 09:44 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 94
Posted By ShaneP
Re: Why is Deal or No Deal not the Monte Carlo problem?

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What is it about one condition- being forced to exposed losers only- that makes the probabilities different in the end result?

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If you're exposing...
Forum: Student Life 10-10-2007, 02:25 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 247
Posted By ShaneP
Re: Cheating on Homework

Just another anecdote about that issue...I was a grader for a couple of classes (basically the classes were large, and I was helping the TA with the grading). In one of the classes, the TA saw that...
Forum: Student Life 10-09-2007, 08:01 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 174
Posted By ShaneP
Re: Class help- Game Theory

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Ok so I'm in London right now for my junior year abroad, and I just had my first day of lectures today. The lectures were all huge and it seemed like there was little actual teaching going...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-07-2007, 10:12 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 60
Posted By ShaneP
Re: Game theory question re \"The Mathematics of Poker\"

At a quick glance, that game is a half street game; the second player can either call or fold if there is a bet by the first player, and just check if there is no bet. So looking at the Y has a K, X...
Forum: Student Life 10-05-2007, 01:47 PM
Replies: 24
Views: 109
Posted By ShaneP
Re: Couple of Other Economics Questions - Quickies once again

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For 1, aren't both (c) and (e) both logical options?

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Why would the question and answer both have "opportunity cost" in it if it is asking you what the law of...
Forum: Books and Publications 10-03-2007, 06:15 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 294
Posted By ShaneP
Re: HOH \"outdated\"

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Sorry, can't help myself...if I was a 'theorist in the field' of zoology, I wouldn't necessarily know anything about trees. Now, if I were a botanist...(sorry for the nit, but...
Forum: Books and Publications 10-03-2007, 04:09 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 294
Posted By ShaneP
Re: HOH \"outdated\"

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Sorry, can't help myself...if I was a 'theorist in the field' of zoology, I wouldn't necessarily know anything about trees. Now, if I were a botanist...
...
Forum: Books and Publications 10-03-2007, 03:23 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 294
Posted By ShaneP
Re: HOH \"outdated\"

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Sorry, can't help myself...if I was a 'theorist in the field' of zoology, I wouldn't necessarily know anything about trees. Now, if I were a botanist...

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My...
Forum: Books and Publications 10-03-2007, 02:21 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 294
Posted By ShaneP
Re: HOH \"outdated\"

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What I'm saying is that it is true in theory and practice in Go, Chess, Checkers, Tic-Tac-Toe, and whatever else, that the game is of complete information. To claim otherwise...
Forum: Sporting Events 10-02-2007, 09:14 PM
Replies: 223
Views: 888
Posted By ShaneP
Re: Did He Touch Home?

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1st and 3rd no outs is a completely different situation than the bases loaded no outs when you absolutely cannot let one run score.

You can't go for the DP because the runner...
Forum: Books and Publications 10-02-2007, 12:28 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 294
Posted By ShaneP
Re: HOH \"outdated\"

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This "complete information" idea is commonly bandied about. It's true in theory, but not in practice, at least among amateur players.



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