Forum: Sports Betting
11-27-2007, 04:05 PM
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Replies: 21
Views: 413
Re: hows this for a teaser?
I'm too lazy, but someone use the search function........in a previous wong thread someone here ran the numbers and found that teasing from -3 to +3.5 was at least breakeven in NFL over past 15...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-27-2007, 02:38 PM
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Replies: 21
Views: 413
Re: hows this for a teaser?
Teasing across the zero with Philly looks like donkey stuff but is ok if you capture the entire 3 on the other side, which you have. Bears and Browns to 7.5 (thru the 3 and 7) looks good also, KC...
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Forum: Televised Poker
11-26-2007, 10:20 PM
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Replies: 324
Views: 4,555
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-21-2007, 12:36 PM
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Replies: 11
Views: 116
Re: Home advantage and capping.
I disagree digdeep. I actually think the opposite is true more often then not.
Variance in play or inconsistent play will bring a team closer to mediocrity. It will make a good team worse and a...
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Forum: Home Poker
11-20-2007, 02:12 PM
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Replies: 50
Views: 419
Re: UPDATE
Play with a $10-$20 CAP so that players cannot lose more then a set amount in 1 hand, or allow ratholing in your game and encourage this player and any others you feel sorry for to do it.
Anykind...
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Forum: Omaha High
11-20-2007, 01:39 PM
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Replies: 16
Views: 113
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Forum: Televised Poker
11-19-2007, 10:24 PM
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Replies: 421
Views: 5,505
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Forum: Omaha High
11-19-2007, 02:25 PM
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Replies: 57
Views: 343
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Forum: Omaha High
11-15-2007, 01:43 PM
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Replies: 9
Views: 70
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-15-2007, 12:59 PM
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Replies: 48
Views: 274
Re: Huge Value in CFL
I just teased Tor and BC down to -0.5 and -1.5 in the division finals since that is quite a bit better then parlaying the moneylines.
Watch BC win by 1 now.
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-15-2007, 12:56 PM
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Replies: 28
Views: 151
Re: POTW college football
Oregon has to go out and CRUSH people if it wants to play for the national championship because the computer is going to probably put the winner of the Big 12, (Kansas or Oklahoma) ahead of them...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-15-2007, 11:19 AM
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Replies: 48
Views: 274
Re: Huge Value in CFL
Pinny shows moneylines of Toronto at -300 and BC at -310 for this weekend's games. I think the moneylines and spreads of -6.5 and -7.5 are fairly correct, though if you put a gun to my head I would...
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Forum: Televised Poker
11-06-2007, 10:30 AM
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Replies: 470
Views: 4,383
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-03-2007, 12:37 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 54
Re: +EV in horseracing?
The dead money, depending on how much, can provide a nice overlay. This is especially true if it's a carryover where they are going to be paying it out for sure that day (end of season). The...
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Forum: Omaha High
10-26-2007, 11:47 AM
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Replies: 41
Views: 252
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Forum: Omaha High
10-25-2007, 03:31 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 52
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Forum: Omaha High
10-25-2007, 12:24 PM
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Replies: 4
Views: 71
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Forum: Omaha High
10-25-2007, 10:10 AM
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Replies: 41
Views: 252
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-19-2007, 11:31 AM
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Replies: 47
Views: 465
Re: NBA over/under win totals
I wouldn't touch that Houston over. A lot of things need to go right for a team to win 55 games. They could easily have a good/decent year and still win between 48-54.
I really like Atlanta...
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-18-2007, 05:04 PM
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Replies: 2
Views: 43
Re: where to parlay nba futures?
Good Luck, you will need to find a pretty square book in order to do that, as many of your bets will be correlated (Example one midwest team over, another midwest team under)
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-18-2007, 02:20 PM
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Replies: 39
Views: 343
Re: wong galores this week
PropPlayer,
see this thread:
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showfl...part=4&vc=1 (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=12373852&page=0&fpart=4&vc=1)
Ritmo (2nd...
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-18-2007, 01:52 PM
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Replies: 47
Views: 465
Re: NBA over/under win totals
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
One thing you guys should also consider before wagering is regression to the mean from season to season. A typical team will move closer to .500 from one season to the next,...
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-18-2007, 01:42 PM
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Replies: 39
Views: 343
Re: wong galores this week
Seattle, Tampa Bay, Washington, New Orleans, same with Tennessee if you can get it (not available at my books) all look good.
A non-wong teaser that I REALLY like is a 6.5 pt -120 teaser which...
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-18-2007, 12:55 PM
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Replies: 47
Views: 465
Re: NBA over/under win totals
Some words of caution before making these season long wagers:
There is a slight over-bias in these numbers as the average # of wins per team is 41.5 (should be 41). This should make you more...
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Forum: News, Views, and Gossip
10-12-2007, 10:16 AM
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Replies: 62
Views: 261
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