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Forum: STT Strategy 11-30-2007, 04:56 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 74
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: 55$ party very deep fish pushes from early

[ QUOTE ]
22 is not ahead of AK/AT. Change it to 77 and it would be very wrong to fold it if you know Villain holds to AK/AT.

[/ QUOTE ]

On what planet is 22 not ahead of AK/AT?

77 is only...
Forum: STT Strategy 11-30-2007, 03:19 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 278
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: [2.25] KK in BB against lots of limpers/ ugly flop.

[ QUOTE ]

I just hate sticking it in w/16BB pre flop, when, I may get more value post flop...still early on, ye know?

[/ QUOTE ]

Sticking it in pre with 16BBs is fine. Especially...
Forum: STT Strategy 11-30-2007, 01:37 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 278
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: [2.25] KK in BB against lots of limpers/ ugly flop.

You need to raise more PF- in the range of t500. You only have t1300, and the pot is already t360. Shove PF. From your read, someone will probably still call.
Forum: STT Strategy 11-30-2007, 01:08 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 35
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: $10 Home game, (easy) fold?

If you're gonna raise, push over two limpers. You only have 15BBs, and you need to raise to around 5 BBs for it to be effective. You gave them nice odds to call. Putting in 20% of your stack and...
Forum: STT Strategy 11-30-2007, 12:58 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 392
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: The dominic parillo theory of expected EV in STT\'s.

This is very interesting.

I'd like to take it a step further and analyze "Expected Expected EV."
Forum: STT Strategy 11-30-2007, 12:50 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 320
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: AQo on the bubble

[ QUOTE ]

If someone thinks we should fold where i wonder do you expect to gain +ev spots.

[/ QUOTE ]

By being the one who pushes.
Forum: STT Strategy 11-30-2007, 12:45 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 117
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: $10 JJ facing shove and call @15/30

EZ Fold.

It's so early, and you are flipping, at best.
Forum: STT Strategy 11-29-2007, 05:56 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 52
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: $16 - JJ vs raise+limp

I push in OPs example.

With raise and reraise, readless, I fold.
Forum: STT Strategy 11-28-2007, 03:55 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 144
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: $44 Level 1 on the Button

Fold Pre, BOTH times.

IF you are playing this hand what are you looking for, if not a flop like this?
Forum: STT Strategy 11-28-2007, 12:47 PM
Replies: 213
Views: 1,563
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: 1-table S&Gs - your feedback requested

Great news about the 150/300 blind level.

I would like 10 player because the payouts are better. Third place would at least be a full buyin of profit. Larger prize pool, while still being an STT....
Forum: STT Strategy 11-27-2007, 11:34 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 70
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: $120 Bubble AK- FoxWoods SNG- BB sitting out

[ QUOTE ]
This is a really tough situation. If you think SB will fold like the worst 10-20% of his range, this is a push pf.

If not, then this is a nice spot for a stop n' go...

[/ QUOTE ]
...
Forum: STT Strategy 11-27-2007, 11:27 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 70
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: $120 Bubble AK- FoxWoods SNG- BB sitting out

[ QUOTE ]
To those saying push, please show me what i'm not considering:

If you fold you will have 24.93% EQ
If you call/win you will have 36.1% EQ

So you have to win this push 69%+ to be...
Forum: STT Strategy 11-27-2007, 11:24 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 70
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: $120 Bubble AK- FoxWoods SNG- BB sitting out

[ QUOTE ]
Can't really assume he's smart enough to be on atc here


[/ QUOTE ]

True. But as his range gets smaller, shoving gets less profitable.

[ QUOTE ]
Forum: STT Strategy 11-26-2007, 06:32 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 70
Posted By Beerocrat
$120 Bubble AK- FoxWoods SNG- BB sitting out

Stack sizes are approximate. Villain seems semi-donkish, but somewhat observant. Probably around 25/10 for the game thus far.

Right before hands were dealt, BB takes a call on his cell and leaves,...
Forum: STT Strategy 11-26-2007, 06:01 PM
Replies: 213
Views: 1,563
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: 1-table S&Gs - your feedback requested

Keep antes, lower rake.

The 5 payouts for 10 players suggestion is gross.

I like the hand based blind levels much better. Stallers are bad for the game.

Edit- Oh, and plz put SOMETHING...
Forum: STT Strategy 07-18-2007, 12:50 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 30
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: 6+.50 T 6p, AQo, flopped trips.

[ QUOTE ]
Also, I don't think checking behind on the flop is THAT bad. If he held 66, Q6, or Q9, slowplaying here allowed you to escape without losing your whole stack.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's...
Forum: MTT Strategy 07-06-2007, 10:40 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 66
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: 3,30$ Pokerstars NL Hold Em tournament 10 Js on great flop.

Everything except that weak lead on the flop looks fine. Either C/R the monster draw or lead an actual bet.
Forum: MTT Strategy 07-05-2007, 01:20 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 402
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: Slowplayed top set.

I don't like it. You are basically checking it down by calling his tiny bets, and you have a monster.

Raise flop, raise turn. You don't have to blow him out of the water, but get some more in the...
Forum: STT Strategy 07-03-2007, 04:44 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 52
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: Time to gamble?

Even if villain is shoving ATC, this is a -EV call.
Forum: STT Strategy 06-28-2007, 05:05 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 360
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: $114 Hero Call BvB. I think people will be interested by this one.

[ QUOTE ]
I think the aggressive call is standard here right?

[/ QUOTE ]

Only if you are an expert at game theory, like Vanessa R.
Forum: STT Strategy 06-28-2007, 02:12 PM
Replies: 66
Views: 414
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: Going to war with KK preflop

[ QUOTE ]
Forgot which book says it but I think it is closer to 1 in 10 or 10% of the time. It was a 2+2 book.

[/ QUOTE ]

Someone at the table has aces one out of every ten hands? Ummm... nah.
Forum: STT Strategy 06-24-2007, 09:53 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 54
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: 6.50 Stars AK played like a Nit?

[ QUOTE ]
but if we get it ai, are we really ahead often enough to make up for the $150 we lose almost every time we dont hit?

[/ QUOTE ]

If you hit with AK and wind up all in on the flop, you...
Forum: STT Strategy 06-24-2007, 01:27 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 54
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: 6.50 Stars AK played like a Nit?

[ QUOTE ]
Am i the only one who would fold this pf?

[/ QUOTE ]

You're losing value folding AK in this spot. You have position, and if you hit you are likely ahead. If you hit and get action,...
Forum: STT Strategy 06-23-2007, 06:14 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 61
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: Full Tilt - Pokerstars PROS

Who cares what the sites are doing with their profits? As long as they aren't running some slave trade or kidnapping schoolchildren to farm kidneys, what do you care? So what if they pay some pros to...
Forum: STT Strategy 06-23-2007, 11:05 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 61
Posted By Beerocrat
Re: Full Tilt - Pokerstars PROS

Sponsored pros play on teh interwebs?
Showing results 1 to 25 of 183

 
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