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Forum: Micro Stakes 12-01-2007, 11:58 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 20
Posted By Antinome
Re: 50PL: K7o Steal -> good thin vbet or idiocy?

to be called by what?

It isn't thin because I think I'm ever behind, It's thin because his calling range is so narrow. He doesn't have AA,AK, *maybe* he calls with QQ. JJ, TT he probably folds. KQ...
Forum: Micro Stakes 12-01-2007, 11:34 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 20
Posted By Antinome
Re: 50PL: K7o Steal -> good thin vbet or idiocy?

Results: he has QQ and makes the hero call. Good read.
Forum: Micro Stakes 12-01-2007, 11:32 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 9
Posted By Antinome
Re: Best way to combat cbets?

3-Way, K9s is a monster, even OOP. 3bet sometimes, Call sometimes.

When I call, I try c/c,c/f first few times to determine if he is capable of double barrels. Occasionally when he is obviously...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-30-2007, 09:43 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 20
Posted By Antinome
Re: 50PL: K7o Steal -> good thin vbet or idiocy?

He was 40/10/2.8 over 47 hands. I had not seen him do a lot of 3betting, so I thought he had a pretty tight range. I made the bet expecting to see QQ, as you suggest, though by the river I'm beating...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-30-2007, 09:18 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 13
Posted By Antinome
Re: 25NL Hand...should I be folding this?

It isn't a flop check-raise, it is just a minraise.

This can mean a number of things these days, while it is sometimes a monster- and there are lots of monsters on this flop- It can also mean, 'I...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-30-2007, 09:11 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 20
Posted By Antinome
50PL: K7o Steal -> good thin vbet or idiocy?

Full Tilt Poker, $0.25/$0.50 PL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com (http://www.leggopoker.com) - Hand History Converter (http://www.leggopoker.com/hh)

Hero (BTN): $40.05
SB: $72.95
BB:...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-10-2007, 06:59 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 8
Posted By Antinome
Re: NL25 - Push/fold pf situation

It isn't really exactly calculable, as your equity is a function of his calling range, and his calling range is presumably a function of stack depth. Your fold equity also increases as stack depth...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-10-2007, 01:26 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 4
Posted By Antinome
Re: 25NL: Post Steal Hits TPBK, Donked into twice

Once he's donked into me the second time I'm sure he's still on a draw. We already know he donk-calls from the flop action. Why wouldn't I want him to call me with the draw? My equity is better than...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-10-2007, 12:22 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 4
Posted By Antinome
25NL: Post Steal Hits TPBK, Donked into twice

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker (http://www.leggopoker.com)Hand History Converter (http://www.leggopoker.com/hh)

BB: $68.10
UTG: $15
Hero (CO): $29.85
BTN:...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-09-2007, 10:10 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 20
Posted By Antinome
Re: $50 check my FE

x=call %

0=x[(his equity=~.75)($you lose by calling=-10.10)+(your equity=~.25)($you win=24.6)]+(1-x)[24.6]

0=x[-7.575+6.15]+24.6-24.6x

0=-1.425x+24.6-24.6x

26.025x=24.6
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-08-2007, 12:23 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 16
Posted By Antinome
Re: Nut flush, ugly river.

As a bit of a LAGtard myself I'd like to confirm that I LOVE playing against people that 3bet their big hands, call (and go halfway/too far with) their mediocre hands, and fold their weak hands. The...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-08-2007, 10:00 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 10
Posted By Antinome
Re: 25NL: call a 4bet w/AKo, small 3betting history?

[ QUOTE ]
If his range is 99+, AKs, AKo, and AQs you are about a 7% dog so I can't really see calling here. He might have something that isn't that great but if he has any pocket pair 99+ you are a...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-07-2007, 06:23 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 26
Posted By Antinome
Re: 25NL: Mathematical Call?

[ QUOTE ]
actually the worst-case scenario is against a set and a made straight (with one of the flush cards), but even then you're still only a 2.6-1 dog.

[/ QUOTE ]

Man, wrong on both...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-07-2007, 06:18 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 26
Posted By Antinome
Re: 25NL: Mathematical Call?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
?

13 outs twice is roughly 13x4 (using the rule of 2 and 4) or 52% is like 1.1:1 , 50% is 1:1.



[/ QUOTE ]
Don't double count the 2 /images/graemlins/diamond.gif.
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-07-2007, 06:12 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 26
Posted By Antinome
Re: 25NL: Mathematical Call?

?

13 outs twice is roughly 13x4 (using the rule of 2 and 4) or 52% is like 1.1:1 , 50% is 1:1.

You're getting 50:20 -> 5:2 - > 2.5:1 so you need 1/(1+2.5) -> .29 -> 29%

Obviously if you...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-07-2007, 05:28 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 13
Posted By Antinome
Re: Should I take a cheap river card or keep betting my draw?

He folds better hands to a river bluff all the time- random 8. 9, 5, 2 hands- and he completely incidentally has one of those bad 12 cards a lot of the time. (12 of 45 unseen cards twice)
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-07-2007, 02:00 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 13
Posted By Antinome
Re: Should I take a cheap river card or keep betting my draw?

Turn is a very easy semibluff, since he just turned his hand over as a very weak hand or draw. These guys fold to a raise here almost always. Forget about your draw, your fold equity is bigger than...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-07-2007, 09:56 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 1
Posted By Antinome
Re: 25NL: two marginal spots with AK

[ QUOTE ]
you really think the best hand he can have in hand 2 is a J? You don't think he does this with a set?

[/ QUOTE ]

Sets are combinatorially irrelevant. There are 9 sets out there...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-06-2007, 11:03 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 1
Posted By Antinome
Re: 25NL: two marginal spots with AK

alright, no interest. Results, H1 he has AQ, H2 he has 9To
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-06-2007, 09:58 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 1
Posted By Antinome
Re: 25NL: two marginal spots with AK

That is pretty much what I thought people would say.

Hand 1: My thinking- AQ cancels out AJ. My image puts AT in his range, and AT pays for a lot of set combinations. Some possibility of a...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-06-2007, 09:29 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 1
Posted By Antinome
25NL: two marginal spots with AK

My image is pretty [censored]

I've been raising everything in sight because they fold everything, call only with premium/pretty hands, and get stubborn when they miss.

------------------
HAND...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-05-2007, 08:52 PM
Replies: 5,080
Views: 889
Posted By Antinome
Re: ***uNL Microbrew Thread*** NOV 2007 (ot)

[ QUOTE ]
I think it goes in alphabetical order.

[/ QUOTE ]

I thought it was best to worst /images/graemlins/spade.gif /images/graemlins/heart.gif /images/graemlins/diamond.gif...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-02-2007, 08:51 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 3
Posted By Antinome
Re: blind battle discussion

[ QUOTE ]
1. from the sb in 25 and 50nl, what range are you generally completing and what are you raising versus a standard oponent at this level? (loose caller pre, will call flop&turn bets with...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-02-2007, 06:21 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 4
Posted By Antinome
Re: General micro limit play vs flop insta min raise

lately I read it to mean "I have one pair, TPNK or worse, did that flop actually hit you, thief?"

Then, if he can fold I bet.

If he can't fold, and I'm ahead, I'll bet or call, depending on how...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-01-2007, 04:51 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 12
Posted By Antinome
Re: Nice flop from the big blind, about 200BB deep vs small blind

turn is marginal, but can be justified with implied odds esp. if you shove river here. He has the flush almost never, I expect to see a set.
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