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Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing

08-08-2007, 07:26 PM

Replies: 51

Shoeprint #1: Six Flags (SIX)

Views: 207

Posted By The Rain King

Re: Shoeprint #1: Six Flags (SIX)

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Are we talking about making money in the sense that you earn some return >0 or are we talking about making excess returns (and therefore justifying some sort of active...

Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing

08-08-2007, 07:12 PM

Replies: 51

Shoeprint #1: Six Flags (SIX)

Views: 207

Posted By The Rain King

Re: Shoeprint #1: Six Flags (SIX)

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Haha, I never took sociology, but perhaps I wasn't clear. Inherent in making those prediction worth the time to describe them is that they're notably more accurate than the...

Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing

08-08-2007, 06:27 PM

Replies: 51

Shoeprint #1: Six Flags (SIX)

Views: 207

Posted By The Rain King

Re: Shoeprint #1: Six Flags (SIX)

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Even if you can successfully determine what people's reactions to news might be, it seems unreasonably risky to attempt to use that knowledge in the first place. This ignored...

Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing

08-08-2007, 06:12 PM

Replies: 19

Earn 6% in the next 5 months (merger arbitrage)

Views: 159

Posted By The Rain King

Re: Earn 6% in the next 5 months (merger arbitrage)

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given those target prices and a reasonable discount rate (say 8%)

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I think this is the part that's really not getting enough attention. Even if you just call your discount...

Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing

08-08-2007, 05:58 PM

Replies: 72

Manhattan real estate

Views: 409

Posted By The Rain King

Re: Manhattan real estate

Predicting short term price movements is always hard. An interesting thing has gone on in NYC real estate though. For probably 20 years people have said something to the effect of "NYC real estate...

Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing

08-08-2007, 05:35 PM

Replies: 51

Shoeprint #1: Six Flags (SIX)

Views: 207

Posted By The Rain King

Re: Shoeprint #1: Six Flags (SIX)

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It just rarely takes into account the actual value of the company, and more takes into account what investors think of the company and how they will react to potential events that affect...

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