Forum: Micro Stakes
11-10-2007, 12:35 AM
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Replies: 2
Views: 21
NL50: good river bluff?
I only had around 35 hands on Villain, but seemed TAGish with maybe only moderate AG; nothing too out of the ordinary. I expected a fold on the turn. I think this river bluff is +EV given how I got...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
09-20-2007, 12:52 PM
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Replies: 18
Views: 89
Re: I play so so weakly
Are stats over a reliable sample size? If so, I think we can put Villain on a pretty tight range (and we probably should do that vs. unknown too). I'm not too concerned about the flush--more...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
09-20-2007, 12:45 PM
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Replies: 4
Views: 106
Re: AA faces flop c/r from a TAG
Clearly shove or fold, and you only have to have around 35% equity for a shove to be better. Surely you're good that often vs. an aggro Villain. (Even if you think AK usually gets pushed preflop, I...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
09-20-2007, 12:41 PM
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Replies: 46
Views: 353
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Forum: Micro Stakes
09-20-2007, 12:39 PM
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Replies: 46
Views: 353
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Forum: Micro Stakes
09-20-2007, 12:32 PM
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Replies: 46
Views: 353
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Forum: Micro Stakes
09-20-2007, 12:17 PM
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Replies: 49
Views: 196
Re: Can i get some insight 10nl
[ QUOTE ]
It's a simple example of implied odds. You're going to flop a set 12.5% of the time (1 in 8). Therefor, the villain needs to have AT LEAST 8 times the size of the bet to see the flop...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
09-20-2007, 12:09 PM
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Replies: 46
Views: 353
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Forum: Micro Stakes
09-17-2007, 11:03 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 68
Re: 25 NL - Am I being way too nitty here
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We are even money (51:49 dog) against a range that includes another 6 (62o+, 62s+) if we add in a horribly played QQ we drop down to 53:47 dog.
[/ QUOTE ]
I don't think all of...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
09-17-2007, 09:59 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 68
Re: 25 NL - Am I being way too nitty here
I'm not too worried about Button, but SB is saying he has a 6. No reason to think his 6 is better, given that he just completed the SB, though. On the other hand, if your kicker is better it might...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
09-17-2007, 09:39 PM
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Replies: 26
Views: 102
Re: 50nl - AQ UTG
I realize this is non-standard, but what about check/call flop, donk a non- /images/graemlins/diamond.gif turn? Plan is to fold to a turn raise. If Villain bets flop, calls turn, we check/call most...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
09-17-2007, 09:31 PM
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Replies: 18
Views: 67
Re: 10 NL - A9s flops overs and nfd.
Given SB's stats, I'm guessing sets and overpairs are a big part of his range (maybe worse flush draws too). I'd expect limited fold equity against those hands, though obviously you did get him to...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
09-17-2007, 09:26 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 44
Re: TPTK in 3bet pot
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Raise to 9, fold to shove here for me.
[/ QUOTE ]
I don't like that line much at all--you put in half your stack before folding.
IMO, it's either fold flop or be willing to get...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
08-31-2007, 05:28 PM
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Replies: 7
Views: 30
Re: AA and facing re-raise from a new player
Villain probably has either a worse overpair, a set, or diamonds (maybe 43). Two pair would be surprising. There are more ways for him to have a worse overpair or a draw than a set, even though some...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
08-31-2007, 05:19 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 31
Re: tptk vs. heat from unknown
I think there's a case for folding to the flop raise, especially if you bet a little more. Villain has 1) two pair+, 2) a straight draw, or 3) a worse pair. Many better players don't have lots of...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
08-31-2007, 04:36 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 42
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Forum: Micro Stakes
08-31-2007, 04:34 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 52
Re: Is there any value in betting this river?
I'd bet $7 on the river (and fold to a push) unless I think I have a really tight image. I'm not sure you can really be 80% certain he's drawing to a high spade, though it is surely a big part of his...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
08-31-2007, 04:29 PM
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Replies: 3
Views: 23
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Forum: Micro Stakes
08-23-2007, 12:56 AM
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Replies: 2
Views: 21
Re: good value bet on the river?
I definitely think you need to value bet, but I'd be gearing the betting toward getting all in somehow. Villain's range is mostly geared toward PP's and worse A's, I think, with only a small chance...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
08-23-2007, 12:21 AM
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Replies: 2
Views: 42
Re: NL 25 Laggy call on the river?
I don't hate preflop given Villain's stats. 3-betting light (occasionally) doesn't seem nuts here either, though it pretty much turns your hand into a bluff.
Is Villain aggressive? If so the flop...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
08-23-2007, 12:06 AM
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Replies: 3
Views: 26
Re: NL10 - 2nd nut flush on a paired flop vs 2p2er
I think pushing is a close call, unless you have an aggro postflop image too (thinking player can probably fold a lot of what you beat). But I defintely don't fold. Smaller flush or Q seem possible;...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
08-22-2007, 11:54 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 38
Re: Flopped two pair on scary board
I like the size of the flop bet. Usually I'd bet/fold the turn (maybe $4.50ish)--don't want a J or a naked diamond to draw cheap, and you're probably ahead. River I call. Villain could be value...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
08-22-2007, 11:47 PM
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Replies: 3
Views: 27
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Forum: Micro Stakes
08-21-2007, 04:56 PM
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Replies: 7
Views: 37
Re: NL 50 AK line check
The board is dry and Villain is aggressive. Why not go for a c/r all in on the turn? If he checks behind, I'd shove river. I think this might get more value from weaker hands.
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Forum: Micro Stakes
08-15-2007, 06:56 PM
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Replies: 18
Views: 70
Re: Top 2 - WTF?
Your line looks strong to me (call flop, lead turn). My guess is Villain has a straight and is trying to get value from a good second best hand. I say fold.
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