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Search: Posts Made By: F8thless
Forum: Probability 10-06-2007, 09:46 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 90
Posted By F8thless
A/B split test confidence

How do I determine the confidence interval/level (preferably within Excel) if I have 2 percentages, and their samples sizes.

For example: I have 2 ads on Google, showing for the same keyword. Ad...
Forum: Small Stakes 01-18-2007, 06:07 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 18
Posted By F8thless
How\'s my line?

Live $2/5 NLH must-move to a larger game (I am planning on leaving if I have to move). Full 8-handed table, mostly younger players with less than the max buy-in ($200).

This is the second hand I...
Forum: Other Poker Games 12-05-2006, 11:31 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 109
Posted By F8thless
Re: TD last-draw strategy tool

FYI, the dates at the bottom of the page say '05, not '06
Forum: Probability 11-29-2006, 04:46 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 50
Posted By F8thless
Rejecting Null Hypothesis

If I only have 2 means and a sample size, what test do I use to determine with what significance I can reject the null hypothesis?


Much thanks.
Forum: Other Poker Games 11-28-2006, 01:07 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 57
Posted By F8thless
5CD, always 3 to a pair?

I know "it depends" but when do I keep a high kicker?

AAK
KKA
QQA
QQK
JJA
JJK
JJQ
Forum: Other Poker Games 11-28-2006, 01:02 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 37
Posted By F8thless
Re: A-5 triple draw article

I'm not sure how I found it originally (prob. Google) but I read that at least 6 months ago, so it's not too recent.
Forum: Probability 11-25-2006, 07:30 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 92
Posted By F8thless
Re: best book for poker probabilities

Those types of probabilties you can easily find using Google, lots of sites list out fairly basic hold'em probabilities such as odds for flopping different hands.

I bought an e-book from Amazon...
Forum: Probability 11-22-2006, 01:11 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 65
Posted By F8thless
prob. of 2 pair or 1 pair in 5CD

Can some one please show me the calculation for exactly 2 pair and exactly 1 pair in 5CD starting hands?
Forum: Probability 11-20-2006, 11:35 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 48
Posted By F8thless
Re: How many possible significant differant HU hands

Can anyone show the math behind how to calculate this?
Forum: Probability 10-27-2006, 11:47 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 86
Posted By F8thless
Re: 6 Cards vs. 5 in A to 5 Triple Draw

I think the advantage would be the increased chance of getting a quality starting hand, which would probably be about 20% more likely.

It's got to be a huge advantage that would be very difficult...
Forum: Probability 10-27-2006, 09:07 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 62
Posted By F8thless
Someone else has AA in Omaha

My appoligize if this has been posted, as I sure it must have been at some point, but I couldn't find anything.

What are the odds in a 10 handed game that someone else has AA given that you...
Forum: Probability 10-27-2006, 08:46 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 55
Posted By F8thless
Re: 2-7 Triple Draw Starting Hand Probabilities

So how would you set up the incorrect one properly, I can't figure that one out.
Forum: Probability 10-26-2006, 09:41 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 55
Posted By F8thless
Re: 2-7 Triple Draw Starting Hand Probabilities

I think I've got it, but my totals are not adding up to what I think they should be, maybe you can find my error:

Any 23xxx (where x can be 2,3,9-A) = 4*4*C(30,3)=64,960
All others should equal...
Forum: Probability 10-25-2006, 10:59 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 55
Posted By F8thless
Re: 2-7 Triple Draw Starting Hand Probabilities

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
2234x, 2334x, 2344x: 3*C(4,2)*4*4*40 = 11,520
22334, 22344, 23344: 3*C(4,2)*C(4,2)*4 = 432
22234, 23334, 23444: 3*C(4,3)*4*4 = 192


[/ QUOTE ]

In these calculations,...
Forum: Probability 10-25-2006, 08:40 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 55
Posted By F8thless
2-7 Triple Draw Starting Hand Probabilities

What are the odds of getting exactly 234xx (where the xx is not a 2-8)?

(I don't want to include say 2347x, which would be counted under a different group of possible starting hands)

Similarly,...
Forum: Other Poker Games 09-21-2006, 08:13 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 46
Posted By F8thless
Re: Value of the button in different games

I would think hold'em, and maybe add 2-7 TD to the list and pick that.
Forum: Other Poker Games 09-18-2006, 07:16 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 52
Posted By F8thless
Re: how do i do this 2-7 tripple draw math

I would approach it as how many ways are there to make each hand that you would consider favorable (16 ways to make 47 etc, will vary based on any dead cards). Then divide each of those...
Forum: Other Poker Games 08-22-2006, 02:02 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 48
Posted By F8thless
Re: HORSE bankroll

That sounds reasonable, but I think applying a bankroll formula for your win rate and deviation in the games you play would be best. It could easily be that 200 is enough, or 500, who knows?
Forum: Poker Theory 08-21-2006, 08:00 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 87
Posted By F8thless
Calculating EV of PF raise

I am trying to calculate the EV of calling and raising from the small blind for Heads up limit omaha/8 play. I am assuming that the big blind will always call, as virtually no hand is bigger than a...
Forum: Other Poker Games 08-17-2006, 03:44 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 113
Posted By F8thless
Re: HORSE online - why?

As a somewhat related point, reading the replies to this thread, it would be nice to see some of the poker shows, especially high stakes poker, vary their standard format at least a little.

This...
Forum: Poker Theory 08-16-2006, 12:17 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 72
Posted By F8thless
Re: no-limit is \"more skill\" and lower variance, SO.....

Seems to me that a great no-limit player will make more than a great limit player, and that the only reason people used to play limit is that it gave the bad players more of a chance, or at least...
Forum: Other Poker Games 08-16-2006, 12:01 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 85
Posted By F8thless
Re: PLO 8 or better tournament strategy

You might want to post this in the Omaha/8 section and/or possibly the tournament section.
Forum: Other Poker Games 08-16-2006, 11:44 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 49
Posted By F8thless
Re: I can\'t win at pineapple to save my life..

I've always been curious about the 8 or better version of pineapple, Do you have to play 2 cards from your hand, or can you play one, or sometimes play the board for low? I would imagine you usually...
Forum: Other Poker Games 08-13-2006, 01:00 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 61
Posted By F8thless
Re: A TD thought to ponder - multiway pots we like

I would think that anytime you have an equity edge over an opponent, you want them in. Similar to hold'em, you're going to need a much stronger hand to win than you would in a heads up pot, but when...
Forum: Other Poker Games 08-12-2006, 10:03 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 49
Posted By F8thless
Re: Poker Tracker For Triple Draw

I don't know the first thing about programming, I would probably buy one though, if UB started offering Badugi
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