Forum: STT Strategy
12-01-2007, 08:05 AM
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Replies: 42
Views: 868
Re: December Goals!!
1. 2000+ sngs
2. FTP Iron man gold+ year bonus
3. Change from combined 11s/22s to 22s
4. After a session continue university work (stop thinking i did enough that day after a session of sngs)
5....
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-30-2007, 01:07 PM
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Replies: 100
Views: 2,212
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-30-2007, 04:29 AM
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Replies: 40
Views: 372
Re: Random result grapher spreadsheet
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Thanks for improving it Shrooma they are interesting to see. I wonder if you could use the results of each simulation to produce a graph of cumulative probability of ROI/profit (preferably...
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-29-2007, 07:18 PM
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Replies: 40
Views: 372
Re: Random result grapher spreadsheet
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Forgive me, as I know I'm being a nit here, but what's accounting for the variance when recalcing each time? I somehow get that the sheet is calculating different scenarios even if you...
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-29-2007, 07:01 PM
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Replies: 40
Views: 372
Re: Random result grapher spreadsheet
Okay, I rewrote from scratch a very fast simulation sheet supporting up to 32000 simulations of 32000 tournaments. The results shown are distribution of profit, best, worst and average runs and...
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-29-2007, 05:13 PM
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Replies: 40
Views: 372
Re: Random result grapher spreadsheet
Been working further on the simulation part, will upload a version soon. I'll try to include best run, worst run, largest down/upswing, breakeven strike, and distribution.
Concerning the last,...
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-29-2007, 10:11 AM
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Replies: 40
Views: 372
Re: Random result grapher spreadsheet
I expanded this excelsheet with a simulating part (assuming it was open source /images/graemlins/smile.gif ). It simulates a predefined number of profit graphs based on the input given. The best and...
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-27-2007, 01:39 PM
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Replies: 9
Views: 73
Re: $5+0.50 Resteal from BB - too risky?
Let's say Small blind will call your push with 20% of his hands (which is 33+, A4+, A2s+, KQ+, KJs+, KTs+). I did some ICM calculations in SNGWizard.
The graph shows that SB should be raising over...
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-25-2007, 10:44 AM
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Replies: 7
Views: 72
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Forum: Software
11-23-2007, 12:06 PM
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Replies: 1
Views: 108
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-23-2007, 11:57 AM
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Replies: 54
Views: 353
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Forum: Software
11-23-2007, 11:23 AM
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Replies: 1,371
Views: 9,287
Re: Full Tilt Shortcuts - new ahk script
I'm using FTS for SNG table opening and selection, just love the new Sharklist feature.
However, occasionally some sharks are present at my tables that shouldn't be. Would this be due to the...
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-22-2007, 11:23 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 44
[22s] QQ very early, push or fold?
I find these early spots very difficult and would like some advice on how people handle this situation.
Initial raiser is LAG 35/20/1.3 (filtered for 7-9 players, only 63 hands)
Pusher is unknown...
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-22-2007, 08:55 AM
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Replies: 15
Views: 232
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-21-2007, 04:15 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 201
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-21-2007, 03:40 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 230
Re: 16s: Surprised SNGPT says fold
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FGS uses the opponent model assigned to each opponent to determine player hand ranges.
[/ QUOTE ]
However, we are not able to assign a hand range to the button (BB in future game)...
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-21-2007, 03:03 PM
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Replies: 23
Views: 369
Re: 16s: Bad Fold?
Yeah, I don't like pushing here for 20 BB. 1200 is fine IMO, just get it in on each flop and fold to a BB raise.
Edit: No, I think pushing is better, such a spew otherwise.
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-21-2007, 02:46 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 230
Re: 16s: Surprised SNGPT says fold
You're right, I think the ranges used there are questionable but not completely retarded.
For this particular situation one future game is simulated. Villain is now the button and we are in the...
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-21-2007, 02:09 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 230
Re: 16s: Surprised SNGPT says fold
The Simulate Future Games option has been beta for a long time but should be working properly according to SNGWizard support.
For an explanation, I'll quote the SNGWizard help file (reference...
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-21-2007, 01:45 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 230
Re: 16s: Surprised SNGPT says fold
Chart changing when simulating future games, showing J4 is a call when SB pushes 10%:
http://img220.imageshack.us/img220/4386/push10tf4.jpg (http://imageshack.us)
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-21-2007, 01:28 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 230
Re: 16s: Surprised SNGPT says fold
Using Simulate Future Games on SNGWizard.
you will win from a 10% push 27.5% of the time leaving you with 41% equity by giving you the chiplead in the heads up game. If you lose your equity only...
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-21-2007, 01:22 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 230
Re: 16s: Surprised SNGPT says fold
SNGWizard lets you call (99% of hands) if SB shoves ATC.
Difference in equity is .93% and when simulating future games it increases to 1.34% (which is huge). I definately call in this spot not...
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-21-2007, 01:00 PM
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Replies: 13
Views: 261
Re: 22$, Should I push here with ATC?
I would push like 80% of hands here, 84o not included. I like pdiggz idea, although it doesn't work against good opponents.
ICM calculations:
Shove any two if opponents are very tight (button...
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-21-2007, 11:54 AM
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Replies: 54
Views: 353
Re: Poker EV for sngs?
I tried the new test version but it crashes after hitting the start button. Tested on Vista and compatibility mode for XP and 2000.
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Forum: STT Strategy
11-14-2007, 02:54 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 59
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