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Forum: Entertainment Betting 02-24-2007, 08:52 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 433
Posted By curtains
Re: People who are overpriced

The people who get eliminated are probably people who are at 2 0 on wsex right now. This is likely true for the next 2 weeks, which Sabrina may not even survive. If she has a subpar performance her...
Forum: Entertainment Betting 02-24-2007, 08:35 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 433
Posted By curtains
Re: People who are overpriced

[ QUOTE ]
Maybe Sabrina doesn't last long. I doubt you have much insight into her singing. But shorting her NOW is foolish. She is very unlikely to go home this week. That means your position will...
Forum: Entertainment Betting 02-24-2007, 06:29 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 433
Posted By curtains
Re: People who are overpriced

[ QUOTE ]
OK. I just watched her performance again. She was better than I thought, and I thought she was pretty good the first time. She has real talent. She can sing.
If you want to short her,...
Forum: Entertainment Betting 02-24-2007, 05:13 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 433
Posted By curtains
Re: People who are overpriced

[ QUOTE ]
re Sabrina: I think the real answer is somewhere in between. Sabrina is way overpriced at 7 10 but she's better than 200-1 to win. I'd peg her around 75-1. Probably the best short on...
Forum: Entertainment Betting 02-24-2007, 03:57 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 433
Posted By curtains
Re: People who are overpriced

[ QUOTE ]
Curtains,

"I also stand by Sabrina being 200-1 to win it all,"

You wouldn't stand by that price for real cash, so it is sort of silly. Whether you like Sabrina or not, she is a good...
Forum: Entertainment Betting 02-24-2007, 01:47 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 433
Posted By curtains
Re: People who are overpriced

In the past few years you can generally pick 2-3 people who will win, and one of those people will win. You can do this after one performance. Fantasia, Carrie, Ruben are all very clear examples of...
Forum: Entertainment Betting 02-23-2007, 05:21 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 433
Posted By curtains
Re: People who are overpriced

Honestly I don't believe anyone but Lakisha or Melinda will win. I'd say the combined chance of them winning is around 75-85% I could be overestimating a little bit, but I simply think they outclass...
Forum: Entertainment Betting 02-23-2007, 05:07 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 433
Posted By curtains
Re: People who are overpriced

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think there is money to be made on Phil Stacey. I see him as a a good candidate to make the top 5. If he does this his sell price will be no less than 10 to 12.

[/ QUOTE ]...
Forum: Entertainment Betting 02-23-2007, 05:07 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 433
Posted By curtains
Re: People who are overpriced

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What was the line before the final show on Diana? IMO I wouldve made it around 10 or 20 to 1. And that's once she actually got to the final. Does anyone know, I wasn't gambling...
Forum: Entertainment Betting 02-23-2007, 02:24 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 433
Posted By curtains
Re: People who are overpriced

What was the line before the final show on Diana? IMO I wouldve made it around 10 or 20 to 1. And that's once she actually got to the final. Does anyone know, I wasn't gambling on it at that time.
Forum: Entertainment Betting 02-23-2007, 12:39 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 433
Posted By curtains
Re: People who are overpriced

My whole point is that basically a lot of people have zero chance to win almost no matter how long they last, and it's just the public's gullibility that gives them any value at all.

Also I think...
Forum: Entertainment Betting 02-23-2007, 01:57 AM
Replies: 39
Views: 433
Posted By curtains
Re: People who are overpriced

[ QUOTE ]
True - but as you hint at, this is about making money, not just picking the winner. All any of these people need is a solid performance and their stock will go up (if only for a few...
Forum: Entertainment Betting 02-23-2007, 12:44 AM
Replies: 39
Views: 433
Posted By curtains
People who are overpriced

There are quite a few singers who although being good, have virtually no chance to win the competition. They can come in the top 5 maybe but they simply will not win. Because of this they should...
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