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Forum: Special Sklansky Forum 04-20-2007, 12:37 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 3,488
Posted By Alan3
Re: Reducing the Amount of Luck in Poker

Play these hands with an ordered preference. Tighten up at the beginning. Loosen up as the blinds increase. Loosen up if your stack is much bigger than his.

AA, KK, QQ, JJ, TT, 99, 88, AKs, 77,...
Forum: Special Sklansky Forum 01-22-2007, 05:38 AM
Replies: 105
Views: 618
Posted By Alan3
Re: Balancing Bluffs vs Balancing Strategy

Brandi,

I've had some experience with always being called down to the river in micro limit games. Two bits of advice that have worked for me:
- Play the odds: Do not feel you have to win every...
Forum: Special Sklansky Forum 01-22-2007, 05:22 AM
Replies: 105
Views: 618
Posted By Alan3
Re: Balancing Bluffs vs Balancing Strategy

If you are playing an optimal game without taking into account how your opponent is playing then you are playing an equilibrium stategy and breaking even before the rake. Playing at equilibrium means...
Forum: Brick and Mortar 09-28-2006, 01:52 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 18
Posted By Alan3
B&M Collusion

Over at the Poker Academy forums, someone calling themselves Jathan reveals his experience in colluding to win tournaments (http://www.poker-academy.com/forums/viewtopic.php?t=4627).

I'm just...
Forum: Brick and Mortar 07-16-2006, 03:09 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 58
Posted By Alan3
Seattle, WA area

I just moved to the Puget sound area and have heard there are a lot of poker rooms in the area. I've found a few directories online, but I have not been able to find any reviews. I would like to get...
Forum: Probability 06-15-2006, 09:43 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 27
Posted By Alan3
Re: burning-half-the-deck problem

Rocketman has an interesting idea.

Burn one card at a time and ask what the probability is after each card. She should get a weird answer at the end.

There is another approach.
Step 1: Buy a...
Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance 06-15-2006, 09:31 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 6
Posted By Alan3
Re: Need the odds on this really pissed at this hand

What could the opponent have that they would have played that you could beat?
You lose to QX, TX, AA, KK.
Bad call.

Here is another situation you shouldn't call.

You have 7X
Flop is Q77....
Forum: Probability 06-13-2006, 06:56 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 25
Posted By Alan3
Re: Game Theorists - Never Nash in Poker?

[ QUOTE ]

Huh? There's a trivial Nash strategy -- don't play.

[/ QUOTE ]

Hmmm... in a raked game this would seem to be the only Nash strategy.
Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance 06-13-2006, 12:12 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 5
Posted By Alan3
Re: IT\'S NOT THAT I SUCK AT POKER

Can I just shoot myself for you?
Forum: Probability 06-12-2006, 03:22 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 26
Posted By Alan3
Re: odds of FLOPPING 2 pair or better in holdem

There are 15 ways to get two pair **or better**.
Select 1 from 6.
Select 1 from the remaining 5.
This will give you either two pair or trips.
Divide by two to get rid of ordering.
(6*5)/2 = 15...
Forum: Books and Publications 06-11-2006, 09:56 PM
Replies: 52
Views: 26
Posted By Alan3
Re: Harrington on Holdem III Discussion Group

I don't feel comfortable enough with my knowledge of the culture here to start the group, but I will definately participate if anyone else wants to start it. I'd even be willing to help manage it,...
Forum: Probability 06-11-2006, 09:14 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 24
Posted By Alan3
Re: How the show works:

[ QUOTE ]
This is only correct when the contestent is incredibly wealthy (which is never the case)

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree.
Forum: Probability 06-11-2006, 03:08 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 24
Posted By Alan3
Re: How the show works:

If the banker does not have any extra information, then you should keep playing as long as the banker's offer is less than the average of the remaining briefcases.

But what if the banker knows the...
Forum: Probability 06-11-2006, 12:18 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 25
Posted By Alan3
Re: Game Theorists - Never Nash in Poker?

Isn't any non-equilibrium strategy exploitable by some other non-equilibrium strategy? I've assumed that a very good player can recognize exploitable strategies and adjust their strategies...
Forum: Probability 06-09-2006, 03:05 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 22
Posted By Alan3
Re: Tough game theory question

I'm am sure I don't have enough background to answer this correctly but I want to learn so I am going to make a lot of obvious statements and ask some stupid questions.

If the two firms form a...
Forum: Probability 06-09-2006, 02:41 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 25
Posted By Alan3
Re: The money in 2 evelopes \"paradox\"

[ QUOTE ]

Argument 1 makes the assumption the second envelope contains 50. If it contains 200, isn't this equation then [.5(100) + .5(+100) = +100] or [.5(100) + .5(-50) = +25]?

This makes #1...
Forum: Probability 06-08-2006, 09:21 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 24
Posted By Alan3
Re: Can someone explain the \"Let\'s Make a Deal\" thing again?

Instead of three doors, let's pretend there are 100 doors.

You choose one.
The host then opens 98 doors knowing that none of them hold the prize.
You saw him do the same thing with all of the...
Forum: Probability 06-08-2006, 09:16 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 25
Posted By Alan3
Re: The money in 2 evelopes \"paradox\"

I'm having trouble wrapping my head around this, but tt becomes much more clear if I change the problem slightly.

Suppose you're given 2 envelopes with money in them and you are told that one...
Forum: Books and Publications 06-08-2006, 01:00 PM
Replies: 52
Views: 26
Posted By Alan3
Re: Harrington on Holdem III Discussion Group

The great thing about this book is it is written as 50 independent problems. We could create a thread for each problem and new people can join in the discussion as they get to them.

The only...
Forum: Books and Publications 06-08-2006, 03:13 AM
Replies: 52
Views: 26
Posted By Alan3
Harrington on Holdem III Discussion Group

I've been writing down my answers and thoughts as I go through HOH3. I'm hoping to use them as a springboard for a discussion group on the book. Is anyone interested in forming a discussion group?...
Forum: Books and Publications 06-08-2006, 03:06 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 23
Posted By Alan3
Re: How good is Harrington 3?

I'm about 1/3 of the way through and have found three really good nuggets that can apply to cash games.
Forum: Probability 05-08-2006, 10:59 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 47
Posted By Alan3
Re: Dominated Outs

Thank you, Aaron. I'm still using the "rule of 2" to estimate my chances of winning. That looks like a much more accurate way of counting odds. I think I'm going to start practicing permutation...
Forum: Probability 05-07-2006, 03:39 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 47
Posted By Alan3
Dominated Outs

I write a poker blog in the hopes that people will let me know when I am wrong, but I rarely get that there. I had a flash of insight this morning and wrote an entry. I'm hoping that someone here...
Forum: Beginners Questions 04-13-2006, 10:49 AM
Replies: 24
Views: 19
Posted By Alan3
Re: TAXES?!!?!

It is worse than you think, luckycharms. You not only have to pay taxes on your winnings, you have to pay taxes on the winnings from all of your winning sessions. That means you take all of your...
Forum: Beginners Questions 04-11-2006, 12:30 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 19
Posted By Alan3
Re: What if situation...

Only one answer... hmmm... I am new here. I guess I don't really expect much.

Here is my take. I am going to pretend I am the Hero and use first person.

I am going to assume that I am ahead...
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