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Search: Posts Made By: Yowserrrs
Forum: Sports Betting 12-02-2007, 03:18 AM
Replies: 99
Views: 111
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: the proof is in the pudding

I'm not sure what he means by making 3:1 on his money. Lets assume you had a 100 unit bankroll. Lets assume your unit is $200. If you turned it every 6 months or bet 17 units / month and increased...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-02-2007, 03:01 AM
Replies: 99
Views: 111
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: the proof is in the pudding

my two cents:

anyone who would think to post something like this prob just had a bad week and needs to be comforted.

there is NO way this guy bets more than a few hundred a game since anyone...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 07:23 PM
Replies: 58
Views: 96
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Saturday NCAAF

Oregon State 2H pk 2U
Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 03:57 PM
Replies: 58
Views: 96
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Saturday NCAAF

Nice 2H under bet on Tulsa
Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 03:48 PM
Replies: 58
Views: 96
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Saturday NCAAF

VT -3 2H 3U
Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 02:53 PM
Replies: 58
Views: 96
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Saturday NCAAF

tulsa +3 2h
Forum: Sports Betting 11-30-2007, 07:41 PM
Replies: 91
Views: 50
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: NBA Week 5 (11/26-12/02)

Boston line down to 2.5
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 11:37 PM
Replies: 91
Views: 50
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: NBA Week 5 (11/26-12/02)

LOL I think the Cowboys have more points than the Knicks and the Knicks got a headstart
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 03:10 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 52
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

I cant tell if youre serious...I also dont know you at all...but if you are offering it or know a site that is...please let me know.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 01:53 PM
Replies: 76
Views: 82
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/29/07 NFL Thursday GAME THREAD (GB @ DAL)***

kyro you put a lot of time in for a $5 unit...that kind of discipline will ultimately propel your game.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 01:05 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 52
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

If you realized Brady may not start, why did you say 96% chance according to the market. I really dont understand. Instead of just twisting one comment to seem incorrect, why not just put thought...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 12:59 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 52
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

Rust:

like i said those % are so argumentative and the standard deviation from actual so high that to sit here trying to precisely calculate is a waste of time and I would contend fruitless.

I...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 12:52 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 52
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

i assume you are not realizing that brady may not start.

Are you telling me that right here right now I can bet Miami at 25:1 or so odds???

Please let me know where.

BTW, 25:1 is the inverse...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 12:18 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 52
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

the standard deviation on those and any other estimates is enormous as im sure you savy bettors understand...my strategy would be to try and single out 2 games / 5 remaining that I think Miami has a...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 12:02 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 52
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

I understand 70% for Baltimore is controversial (esp if Buffalo at 60%). Call it a matter of opinion. Before you lash out, do your own recalc and you will see even if you move each 5% it doesnt...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 11:58 AM
Replies: 51
Views: 52
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

Chance to LOSE:
NYJ - 55% (I actually think its 65% but I dont want to cause an uproar given where the spread is)
BUF - 60%
BAL - 70%
NE - So much uncertainty depending who they start but to be...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 10:40 AM
Replies: 91
Views: 50
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: NBA Week 4 (11/26-12/02)

rsigley...youre a sicko! congrats...im following your every move.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 10:15 AM
Replies: 51
Views: 52
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

Obv this is a bet where one cannot make a sig amt of $ due to cap so why dont we discuss some real opportunities...like how many units is everyone putting on the Jets here?
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 10:10 AM
Replies: 51
Views: 52
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

lol...sorry new to the site and just assumed that this was post Pitt game...if they were offering -700 three games ago then Yes that was a GREAT price...if it was -700 now that would not be a good...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 04:07 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 52
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

im saying how can you ascribe a 1/1000 chance to something that history shows us actually has a 1/100 chance of happening
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 03:55 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 52
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

your own article invalidates your argument. Since 1943, 18 teams have started out 0-11. assume 25 teams per year over 60 = 1500 seasons....that equates to a 1.2% chance NOT a 0.1% chance, about 12x...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 03:33 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 52
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

Its funny b/c on its face the math seems very logical, but if you were to run this calculation at the beginning of the season for the first 11 games (having perfect info on the team and players but...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 02:54 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 52
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

And the first time Miami played the Jets when they had a RB and a QB, they lost by a field goal (they were trailing by 11 at end of 3rd)...Baltimore has a sick rush defense (just about all they have)...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 02:42 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 52
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

By fav you are obv ref to spreads < 3 pts because if Baltimore is getting 3 points against Miami, I am betting a large sum of money on the Ravens.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 02:31 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 52
Posted By Yowserrrs
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

Further Cin is not a junk team and there must be validity to my point as I read the thread after I posted and now I'm seeing other posts indicating other sites offering far better prices.
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