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Search: Posts Made By: Silent A
Forum: Omaha High 08-10-2007, 12:09 AM
Replies: 53
Views: 198
Posted By Silent A
Re: Ribbit\'s Edits

[ QUOTE ]
Let's look at two players. Both have the same number of "big" pots and all are of equal size. However, Player A has 65% of his big pots positive while Player B has just 35% of his big...
Forum: Omaha High 08-09-2007, 03:38 PM
Replies: 53
Views: 198
Posted By Silent A
Re: Ribbit\'s Edits

[ QUOTE ]
really? I remember this came up before and you told me increasing your SD does not massively increase your bankroll requirement (unlike decreasing your winrate). My SD is something like...
Forum: Omaha High 08-09-2007, 02:54 PM
Replies: 53
Views: 198
Posted By Silent A
Re: Ribbit\'s Edits

I still think it's not as bad as you're suggesting Troll.

The big swings we're worried about will happen when we get into a bad run losing a lot of big pots in coin flip type situations.

If...
Forum: Omaha High 08-09-2007, 01:56 PM
Replies: 53
Views: 198
Posted By Silent A
Re: Ribbit\'s Edits

Deleted because of a massive typo
Forum: Omaha High 08-09-2007, 12:11 PM
Replies: 53
Views: 198
Posted By Silent A
Re: Ribbit\'s Edits

I just did a quick check of my last 25k PLO 50 results. I have a skew of about 2.1, which is significant (normal should be zero) but not so bad that it makes the above theory terrible.

Pearson...
Forum: Omaha High 08-09-2007, 11:54 AM
Replies: 53
Views: 198
Posted By Silent A
Re: Ribbit\'s Edits

You are correct that real poker results aren't normally distributed, so this theory is approximate. However, this doesn't change the fact that bankroll would still be proportional to SD^2/WR. You'd...
Forum: Omaha High 08-09-2007, 03:25 AM
Replies: 53
Views: 198
Posted By Silent A
Re: Ribbit\'s Edits

In the 50-70 ptBB/100 range, bankroll isn't that sensitive to SD. But I never imagined a case with a SD over 100. I am truly impressed. /images/graemlins/smile.gif

The required bankroll is...
Forum: Omaha High 08-09-2007, 01:49 AM
Replies: 53
Views: 198
Posted By Silent A
Re: Ribbit\'s Edits

Massive variance for his style of play: 105 ptBB/100 hands. So he need 2 to 2.5 times the usual roll.
Forum: Omaha High 08-07-2007, 08:18 PM
Replies: 53
Views: 198
Posted By Silent A
Re: Ribbit\'s Edits

Remp, you realize that we have a mod again, correct?
Forum: Omaha High 08-07-2007, 08:09 PM
Replies: 53
Views: 198
Posted By Silent A
Re: Ribbit\'s Edits

[ QUOTE ]
If I can "easily" have 1 out here, why is Rempel turning over a pair of sixes?
Clearly Rempel can "easily" have a lot of hands here that I am not in trouble against, especially since I am...
Forum: Omaha High 08-07-2007, 07:56 PM
Replies: 53
Views: 198
Posted By Silent A
Re: Ribbit\'s Edits

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What? In the first had, who pushed back against the raise (with zero fold equity) with a hand that could easily have 1 out?

[/ QUOTE ]

Incorrect. Try again. This time I...
Forum: Omaha High 08-07-2007, 07:47 PM
Replies: 53
Views: 198
Posted By Silent A
Re: Ribbit\'s Edits

[ QUOTE ]
My problem is you claiming winning 2 coin flips clearly shows you being superior, when in reality the reason you gamble so much when you know you're flipping at BEST is the reason you went...
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