Forum: Medium Stakes
12-02-2007, 12:20 AM
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Replies: 2,288
Views: 16,518
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Forum: Medium Stakes
12-01-2007, 10:53 AM
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Replies: 2,288
Views: 16,518
Re: Official Party Regulars Thread
Anybody else have problems with logging in now ?
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I'm still hoping for a time-bank
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Please no time-bank. I hate those slow multitablers who abuse it. This is why I...
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Forum: Probability
12-01-2007, 08:35 AM
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Replies: 7
Views: 186
Re: What would be better...?
It depends what do you mean by "profitable".
If you forget about the risk of detection 1 is more profitable by far. If you take it into account both are probably the same as both would allow you to...
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Forum: Probability
12-01-2007, 07:22 AM
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Replies: 3
Views: 133
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Forum: Probability
11-29-2007, 08:20 AM
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Replies: 17
Views: 653
Re: farha vs PA, hsp episode 14
Running it 2/3/4/5/n times does not change EV of the play.
It lowers the variance though which is often in interest of both players. This is why they often choose to do it.
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Forum: Poker Theory
11-21-2007, 05:42 AM
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Replies: 9
Views: 255
Re: Cutting Off Set Equity
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It's possible to flop set over set. We're interested in your equity when villian flops a set, not your equity when villian flops a set and you don't.
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Yes. Unless you...
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Forum: Poker Theory
11-20-2007, 08:58 AM
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Replies: 12
Views: 151
Re: Playing Ax suited for flush value ???
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What is another option for small pairs in early-mid position and late postion then?
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If you have hopes for more callers call is good option because implied odds increase...
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Forum: Poker Theory
11-20-2007, 04:19 AM
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Replies: 9
Views: 255
Re: Cutting Off Set Equity
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ometimes you'll crack his set.
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That "sometimes" is huge. You win 60% of his stack on average instead of 100% because of that "sometimes".
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Forum: Poker Theory
11-20-2007, 03:46 AM
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Replies: 9
Views: 255
Re: Cutting Off Set Equity
The simplest way to do that is to see what is equity of AA IF you hit a set. It is about 80% (you can stove it.. AA vs 33 with one 3 on the board will do the trick).
So for 100BB stacks you win 60BB...
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Forum: Small Stakes
11-20-2007, 02:42 AM
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Replies: 89
Views: 484
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Forum: Medium Stakes
11-20-2007, 02:38 AM
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Replies: 45
Views: 252
Re: Bluffing in 3-bet pot
Looks like a spew because most players bets somewhere if they dont have anything at all. I would guess he has a T or something like 88-99 and is insta-calling now.
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Forum: Poker Theory
11-20-2007, 02:35 AM
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Replies: 12
Views: 151
Re: Playing Ax suited for flush value ???
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I know that small pairs and even pairs as large as JJ can be played for set value.
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It's almost never true. Playing for set value is almost never good. I plugged...
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Forum: Probability
11-19-2007, 12:37 PM
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Replies: 11
Views: 95
Re: Are Flu Shots -EV?
As any insurance. They are -EV money wise (as cost of getting a flu multiplied by probabiilty of getting it is less than cost of the shot) but +EV utility wise (if your utility function is similair...
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Forum: Probability
11-19-2007, 12:31 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 78
Re: 2 pair
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It would be at least somewhat useful to be able to know how often I will outflop a certain range with any given hand. For example whether it's +ev to call a raise preflop with 75s getting...
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Forum: Poker Theory
11-19-2007, 12:14 PM
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Replies: 22
Views: 195
Re: Why does a flush beat a straight?
With suited connectors you flop a straight in 1.3% of all cases and a flush in 0.8% of all cases so the flush beat a straight as you flop it less often /images/graemlins/grin.gif
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Forum: Medium Stakes
11-19-2007, 12:10 PM
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Replies: 23
Views: 114
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Forum: Probability
11-19-2007, 12:03 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 78
Re: 2 pair
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Yet there's no software that calculates equity until the flop or turn, no?
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What do you mean by equity by flop or turn ? Dealing only 3 or 4 cards ? I can make my program...
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Forum: Probability
11-19-2007, 11:42 AM
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Replies: 10
Views: 78
Re: 2 pair
The equity is higher on 2 3 board because :
a)you took 2 cards out of the deck so probability of 3 following hitting your hands is higher than with 48card deck (here you are dealing 3 more cards...
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Forum: Poker Theory
11-19-2007, 10:26 AM
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Replies: 14
Views: 133
Re: Exploitive play question
For bluff/bluff catching situations if he plays optimally it doesnt matter at all what you do with your bluff catchers. The only dangerous situation is when he guesses what strategy you are using but...
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Forum: Probability
11-19-2007, 10:21 AM
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Replies: 3
Views: 69
Re: Shoving Question
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All else equal, does it cost less to shove from the BB as opposed to the Button over a CO raise?
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Of course.
1)It costs you amount of BB less. It doesn't affect the EV...
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Forum: Probability
11-19-2007, 10:15 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 69
Re: Percentage of time raiser flops a good hand
The answer will be in such a format taht you need to add all categories above to any given one to see full answers. That means that in first example top pair+ is flopped in 5.9% + 7.6%. 7.6% means...
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Forum: Mid-High Stakes Shorthanded
11-19-2007, 09:03 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 58
Re: Schneids video 1, KTo hand
If Villain's range is 99+, AJ+, KQ, QJs and he will always bet turn and Shneid's turn plan is to check/fold with nothing and check/call with pair/OESD its marginal spew (about -0.1SB) even if he...
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Forum: Probability
11-19-2007, 08:34 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 69
Re: Percentage of time raiser flops a good hand
In general check-raise bluff is profitable on every flop if he folds everything worse than top pair. Even big checkraise. If he starts calling any pair checkraise starts sucking. If you post...
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Forum: Probability
11-19-2007, 08:19 AM
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Replies: 10
Views: 78
Re: 2 pair
Hi
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2 low suited cards what % will I out flop my opponent who is holding for 1 example high pocket pair
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With say 74s you will flop 2pair or better 5.2% of the time. With...
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Forum: High Stakes Limit
11-16-2007, 03:03 AM
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Replies: 27
Views: 196
Re: 1/2 halp, all streets
I elaborated a bit on Elindauer's analysis here (http://pokerazor.net/blog/2007/11/16/limit-example/) .
Enjoy /images/graemlins/smile.gif
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