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Search: Posts Made By: jbrennen
Forum: Stud 12-01-2007, 02:26 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 95
Posted By jbrennen
Re: Razz: .50/1 daily special

Sklansky bucks are a measure of how much equity you gain or lose with your action, assuming that you could see your opponents' cards.

In this case, if you could see your opponents' cards on 4th...
Forum: Stud 11-30-2007, 08:13 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 95
Posted By jbrennen
Re: Razz: .50/1 daily special

Hey, give the guy credit for calling 4th with the best hand. He was at the table, seeing the absolute crap that these guys play. Folding 4th would have cost him some Sklansky bucks.
Forum: Stud 11-29-2007, 06:01 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 83
Posted By jbrennen
Re: Limp behind hand in razz

If we can confidently put Seat 2 on starting with a three-card 7, there are 118 possible combinations of down cards he could have when the action comes to us on 5th street. We're ahead of 36 of...
Forum: Stud 11-28-2007, 11:08 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 83
Posted By jbrennen
Re: Limp behind hand in razz

[ QUOTE ]
Also you can very well be behind on 5th here I'm not usually raising with an 87, I'd call.

[/ QUOTE ]

The raise on 5th is likely intended to sandwich Seat 6, who called with a T-9...
Forum: Internet Gambling 11-28-2007, 09:27 PM
Replies: 884
Views: 247
Posted By jbrennen
Re: Fulltilt froze my account with 47 grand in it

[ QUOTE ]
Sounds kinda like nabbing Al Capone for tax evasion. They took her money for "botting", couldn't prove it, found out she had multiple accounts, figured that would do, and used it as...
Forum: Stud 11-27-2007, 04:47 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 26
Posted By jbrennen
Re: .5/1 Razz hand

[ QUOTE ]
...there are some pretty good players there but what the heck was this guy's "strategy?" Was he thinking on 4th - if I catch perfect-perfect-perfect I'll have a winning Ten hi!

[/...
Forum: Poker Legislation 11-23-2007, 07:54 PM
Replies: 54
Views: 325
Posted By jbrennen
Re: PokerRoom refuses to cashout US player

[ QUOTE ]
2. If you can find a way for us to send you your money, please let us know.

[/ QUOTE ]

Seems ludicrous to me. The UIGEA targets transfers TO gambling businesses, not transfers FROM...
Forum: Omaha/8 11-23-2007, 07:19 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 13
Posted By jbrennen
Re: nut flush on river, can I call here?

[ QUOTE ]
In my experience, even at micro limits it's unusual for someone to raise on the river with a non-nut flush on a paired board.

[/ QUOTE ]

I was part of a microstakes O/8 hand recently...
Forum: Stud 11-21-2007, 06:53 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 40
Posted By jbrennen
Re: Very confusing razz hand

[ QUOTE ]
In hindsight, the bet on 6th might be bad, but who wouldn't bet into that board?

[/ QUOTE ]

Check-fold sixth. Based on the earlier play, there is no way he's folding before...
Forum: Stud 11-21-2007, 11:49 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 14
Posted By jbrennen
Re: Razz $1/$2 - call down light, hope Villain paired

[ QUOTE ]
By the way, what is your BB/100 stats jbrennen?

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't want to give out too much detailed information, but I did post this back in July about the time that I started...
Forum: Stud 11-21-2007, 03:58 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 14
Posted By jbrennen
Razz $1/$2 - call down light, hope Villain paired

Razz ($1/$2), Ante $0.20, Bring-In $0.25 (converter (http://www.andyblackwood.com/converter.html7StudConverter.htm))

3rd Street - (1.60 SB)

Seat 1: xx xx Q/images/graemlins/club.gif___folds...
Forum: Stud 11-20-2007, 05:14 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 8
Posted By jbrennen
Re: 5-10 Razz....line check

[ QUOTE ]
You know what would've been fun? I'd have been sorely tempted to check-call 5th street. It would be an easy sell that the A paired you. You know he is going to bet...

[/ QUOTE ]

I...
Forum: Stud 11-20-2007, 05:03 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 8
Posted By jbrennen
Re: 5-10 Razz....line check

Of all the things that can go wrong, the highest probability is probably that Villain will check behind you on 7th and you lose the check/raise opportunity.

For that reason, I suspect that the...
Forum: Stud 11-20-2007, 04:17 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 8
Posted By jbrennen
Re: 5-10 Razz....line check

The only reason to flat call 6th is to trap on the river. Either reraise 6th or check/raise 7th, one or the other; you are better than an 80% favorite on 6th street, and not trying to extract an...
Forum: Stud 11-19-2007, 03:40 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 9
Posted By jbrennen
Re: Too tricky for low stakes?

Fold 3rd. Fold 4th. Fold 5th. Yes, even though you're showing 2-3-4, they're going to put you on a low hand or a low draw, most likely not a made straight, and they're obviously both going high. ...
Forum: Stud 11-18-2007, 06:36 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 23
Posted By jbrennen
Re: Razz: Would you play this diffirent?

I would bet the river. Otherwise, I'd probably play it the same.

And I don't bet the river because I think it's +EV. In fact, it's most likely -EV, but I do it for metagame purposes, because it...
Forum: Stud 11-17-2007, 11:30 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 23
Posted By jbrennen
Re: What would be the best limit to start at?

Rusty, I think most likely it's just a semantic difference in how we're treating +/- 1%.

To me, if the EV is 4400 (in 8800 trials), +/- 1% is the range [4356...4444]. The +/- 1% being one percent...
Forum: Stud 11-17-2007, 07:06 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 23
Posted By jbrennen
Re: What would be the best limit to start at?

[ QUOTE ]
Still too lazy to look up my formula, but one program tweak later and as far as I can see it, the 95% confident mark (95% of the time, it's within 1% of EV for N trials) happens for...
Forum: Stud 11-17-2007, 03:48 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 23
Posted By jbrennen
Re: What would be the best limit to start at?

Actually, you probably need a lot more trials than that to have a strong chance of being within 1% of the expected value.

For instance, the number of heads expected in a coin flip is 0.5 with 0.5...
Forum: Stud 11-16-2007, 08:49 PM
Replies: 68
Views: 15
Posted By jbrennen
Re: My stats

[ QUOTE ]
I've read a story (I forget where) about a pro who resolved to play O8 for an entire year seeing the flop EVERY HAND. At the end of the experiment, he was up nearly 6 figures.

[/ QUOTE...
Forum: Stud 11-16-2007, 06:58 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 15
Posted By jbrennen
Re: Razz-caution or coward?

[ QUOTE ]
Thank you. And would you raise the river on the first hand?

[/ QUOTE ]

At these stake levels, and against a player with no history, probably yes. He'll pay a buck to look you up...
Forum: Stud 11-16-2007, 05:13 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 15
Posted By jbrennen
Re: Razz-caution or coward?

IMO, bet the river in the 2nd hand.

Almost certainly, he did not have a made 7-5 on 6th street. If he had 7-4-3-2 (or better) on 4th street, that's pretty much an automatic bet even against scary...
Forum: Other Poker Games 11-16-2007, 03:00 PM
Replies: 89
Views: 93
Posted By jbrennen
Re: Bored now. Invent a novel poker variant.

Here's an idea that I've been kicking around for a while. It works with any hi/lo split game.

There are 3 classes of chips -- normal chips, low chips, and high chips. The chips are marked in an...
Forum: Stud 11-15-2007, 05:29 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 10
Posted By jbrennen
Re: Razz - again weird with passive opponent

[ QUOTE ]
If I have a low card showing and there is only one other low card between me and the bring-in I raise damn near 100 % of the time

[/ QUOTE ]

So basically, you're making what is...
Forum: Stud 11-15-2007, 03:13 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 38
Posted By jbrennen
Re: Razz - playing a 9

[ QUOTE ]
I know you're joking, but this is what I feel that a lot of people do. Just because they have the lower two cards they think they must bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

I've read enough of his posts...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 148

 
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