Forum: Probability
11-23-2007, 11:11 PM
|
|
Replies: 12
Views: 373
Re: A Few Random Walk Questions
[ QUOTE ]
But this doesn't mean it has no positive expectation. Let's take a simple example: We play the exchange rate game for 4 periods. The initial exchange rate is 1 and every period it halves...
|
|
Forum: Poker Theory
10-05-2007, 01:55 PM
|
|
Replies: 13
Views: 81
|
|
Forum: Heads Up Poker
10-04-2007, 08:28 PM
|
|
Replies: 6
Views: 367
|
|
Forum: Poker Theory
10-04-2007, 06:03 PM
|
|
Replies: 13
Views: 315
|
|
Forum: Poker Theory
10-04-2007, 03:13 AM
|
|
Replies: 14
Views: 97
Re: TOP: HU on the end concepts
Interesting, you interpreted the "shouldn't" as applying to the "villian's range".
I was trying to apply the "shouldn't" to "my hand"
The example by Jay and yourself implied that the decision...
|
|
Forum: Poker Theory
10-03-2007, 11:54 AM
|
|
Replies: 14
Views: 97
Re: TOP: HU on the end concepts
[ QUOTE ]
OK, thanks for all the explanation, but there is still a nagging thought in my mind.
Do we have to consider pot odds when we are first to act, and deciding between a bet or check?...
|
|
Forum: Poker Theory
10-02-2007, 02:56 AM
|
|
Replies: 14
Views: 97
|
|
Forum: Poker Theory
10-02-2007, 01:53 AM
|
|
Replies: 14
Views: 97
|
|
Forum: Poker Theory
10-01-2007, 09:39 PM
|
|
Replies: 14
Views: 97
Re: TOP: HU on the end concepts
No Jay, that doesn't make sense.
Your example gives the "first to act" player a ton of fold equity which your 20/19 ignores.
|
|
Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance
09-28-2007, 10:51 AM
|
|
Replies: 7
Views: 154
Re: BAD BEAT JACKPOT
UB's Bad Beat Jackpot will have a short lifespan.
Started on the 24th. Hit on the 26th, and again on the 27th.
Both times it was Quads vs Royal.
There isn't enough action between wins for...
|
|
Forum: Poker Theory
09-25-2007, 12:39 PM
|
|
Replies: 24
Views: 137
|
|
Forum: Poker Theory
09-25-2007, 12:34 PM
|
|
Replies: 24
Views: 137
|
|
Forum: Probability
09-24-2007, 07:58 PM
|
|
Replies: 2
Views: 109
Re: Pocket Aces vs. Pocket Kings Heads -up
if we assume you've already looked at your cards and see the KK, then your opponent has a 6/1225 (approx 1/204) chance of having AA.
If you haven't looked at your cards yet, then the odds are...
|
|
Forum: Probability
09-24-2007, 03:57 AM
|
|
Replies: 12
Views: 154
|
|
Forum: Probability
09-23-2007, 07:50 PM
|
|
Replies: 25
Views: 206
Re: Hole in one odds from Yahoo news story
17 million to 1 makes sense when you consider it's filtered through journalists.
The "raw data" showed approximately 528 million rounds, and 100 thousand holes in one.
The math guy estimated 4...
|
|
Forum: Probability
09-22-2007, 08:04 PM
|
|
Replies: 25
Views: 206
Re: Hole in one odds from Yahoo news story
From my experience a normal course 18 holes of par 3, 4 and 5's has either 2, or 3 par 3s, and the same number of par 5's
There are some 9 hole courses, and some of those that are all par 3's.
|
|
Forum: Probability
09-22-2007, 05:11 PM
|
|
Replies: 25
Views: 206
Re: Hole in one odds from Yahoo news story
[ QUOTE ]
... The odds of a golfer scoring an ace: 5,000-to-1. But the odds of two players in a foursome performing such a feat [back to back] are 17 million to 1, according to a Golf Digest article...
|
|
Forum: Probability
09-22-2007, 09:40 AM
|
|
Replies: 25
Views: 206
Re: Hole in one odds from Yahoo news story
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Jay, Jay, Jay.
Exact answers after you make assumptions... shame.
Anyone who has golfed knows that they are not independent events.
Watching the path of the ball, both...
|
|
Forum: Psychology
09-21-2007, 09:40 PM
|
|
Replies: 20
Views: 104
|
|
Forum: Probability
09-21-2007, 07:37 PM
|
|
Replies: 25
Views: 206
Re: Hole in one odds from Yahoo news story
Jay, Jay, Jay.
Exact answers after you make assumptions... shame.
Anyone who has golfed knows that they are not independent events.
Watching the path of the ball, both in the air and on the...
|
|
Forum: Poker Theory
09-21-2007, 04:49 PM
|
|
Replies: 102
Views: 439
|
|
Forum: Other Poker Games
09-20-2007, 02:35 AM
|
|
Replies: 10
Views: 71
|
|
Forum: Probability
09-19-2007, 10:53 PM
|
|
Replies: 6
Views: 198
|
|
Forum: Poker Theory
09-19-2007, 04:26 PM
|
|
Replies: 102
Views: 439
Re: Win rate with optimal strategy against limit raise bot
from the BB, you should be able to stop at 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 bets postflop.
0 = check, fold
1 = check, call
2 = bet, call
3 = check, bet, call
4 = bet, bet, call
|
|
Forum: Poker Theory
09-19-2007, 04:23 PM
|
|
Replies: 102
Views: 439
|
