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Search: Posts Made By: iillllii
Forum: Sports Betting 11-19-2007, 01:14 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 103
Posted By iillllii
Re: Help Me please I don\'t understand your odd system

You'd only lose $110 in an effort to win $100 if you bet $110 to begin with. In Larry's example you bet only $100 on Den, so you win only $91 (technically, $90.91). It is the same payout...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-16-2007, 08:43 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 361
Posted By iillllii
Re: What do line movements tell us?

[ QUOTE ]

If Im sitting here seeing 70% on team A day of the game, I know square money is going to come in on them. So if I see a move to 7, I dont think much of it. If I see the same scenario...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-16-2007, 07:35 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 361
Posted By iillllii
Re: What do line movements tell us?

I'm definitely familiar with him, his well post was more enlightening than a lot of published material.

I read most of what gets posted here although I don't usually post, just because I don't...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-16-2007, 06:35 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 361
Posted By iillllii
Re: What do line movements tell us?

[ QUOTE ]

One thing however I learned from YTF is that most of the square money in the NFL comes in on Sunday morning so if you see big moves right before the games, its not them.

[/ QUOTE ]
...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-05-2007, 07:06 PM
Replies: 104
Views: 736
Posted By iillllii
Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines

[ QUOTE ]


See also: ASU v. Washington State. Whole forum on them at -9. You remember how that went - and ASU would have lost if not for a blown call. UCLA is considerably better than...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-02-2007, 01:45 AM
Replies: 180
Views: 1,448
Posted By iillllii
Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===

let someone else track them for you, for free

sagestats dot com

disclaimer: I'm unaffiliated with that site just think it is good. delete if TOS violation. that is all.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-02-2007, 01:30 AM
Replies: 180
Views: 1,448
Posted By iillllii
Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===

Bet Jamaica has them:

Pleasers (NFL / NCAAF)*NEW*
Forum: Sports Betting 10-28-2007, 02:01 PM
Replies: 176
Views: 571
Posted By iillllii
Re: Week 10 Early NCAA Lines

exactly what time do lines typically come out at bookmaker? I know it is today...
Forum: Home Poker 10-26-2007, 02:09 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 246
Posted By iillllii
Re: WHY I HATE HOME GAME POKER.

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I had the good fortune of receiving a lecture from my buddy: "you're always thinking about the math, but the math doesn't matter - all that matters is what cards are going to...
Forum: Home Poker 10-26-2007, 12:45 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 246
Posted By iillllii
Re: WHY I HATE HOME GAME POKER.

[ QUOTE ]
Playing on a dinner table at my friends house tonight i lost 22 dollars to total idiots!!! and i dont think ive ever been this pissed ever!!! Im not sure why im so pissed, i think it's cuz...
Forum: Home Poker 10-25-2007, 04:43 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 62
Posted By iillllii
Re: Help needed - designing a charity poker tournament

great stuff guys, I'll give it some in depth analysis tonight and come up with a revised approach based on these comments/suggestions.
Forum: Home Poker 10-24-2007, 08:32 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 62
Posted By iillllii
Re: Help needed - designing a charity poker tournament

[ QUOTE ]
Since you expect a lot of inexperience players, I would suggest offering "training classes" at lunch for a few days up to the event, maybe even a week. Have a sign-up and teach 8 or 9...
Forum: Home Poker 10-24-2007, 05:59 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 62
Posted By iillllii
Help needed - designing a charity poker tournament

Hello all, I've been given the responsibility to design a charity poker tournament for my company, and would appreciate insight into what would be the best structure. My experience is mostly limited...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-22-2007, 01:16 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 99
Posted By iillllii
When to middle?

A couple times recently I've had a chance to take a middle position, but am not sure when it is profitable. At lines of -110 on both sides of a bet, is capturing one number worth paying the vig on...
Forum: Home Poker 09-28-2007, 12:20 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 96
Posted By iillllii
Re: Working Girl Under Table Thread

[ QUOTE ]

Hi,

We recieved complaints about your thread in home poker regarding 'working girls under the table'. After review, this doesn't seem like a thread that was ever appropriate for home...
Forum: MOD DISCUSSION 09-25-2007, 03:57 PM
Replies: 69
Views: 494
Posted By iillllii
Re: Advice please - Working girls under the table

[ QUOTE ]


i was totally ready to believe in this thread until i read this paragraph, i am seriously disappointed that the OP didn't have the discipline to keep up the charade for more than one...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-22-2007, 01:14 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 109
Posted By iillllii
Re: US Book with quick payouts?

[ QUOTE ]
Also, this seems like a pretty good thread to complain about VIP delaying my cashout.

So I go to cashout, but VIP says wait, we need a credit card authorization form, and copies of the...
Forum: MOD DISCUSSION 09-21-2007, 03:11 PM
Replies: 69
Views: 494
Posted By iillllii
Re: Advice please - Working girls under the table

a few answers and follow up points:


1) regarding the implications that this is gay - it isn't. Instead of the typical felt overlay on the table, we plan to instead utilize a long table cloth...
Forum: MOD DISCUSSION 09-20-2007, 09:45 PM
Replies: 69
Views: 494
Posted By iillllii
Advice please - Working girls under the table

Hello, for the past several years my buddies from my regular home game and I have been wanting to play a SNG tourney with a twist: we hire two working girls to spend the night under the table, going...
Forum: Home Poker 09-13-2007, 04:18 PM
Replies: 74
Views: 294
Posted By iillllii
Re: Cash game problems

The stack sizes do matter because of how they change implied odds. It's really that simple.

example: If the $100 stack raises to $15 preflop, and I have pocket 5's, I won't call because I don't...
Forum: Sports Betting 08-31-2007, 03:30 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 224
Posted By iillllii
Re: Wong Teasers

I've got a question hopefully someone can help me with. Does anyone have or know of a place where data/statistics show Wong teasers are +EV? It is commonly accepted that they are but I've never...
Forum: Sports Betting 08-22-2007, 06:45 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 183
Posted By iillllii
Preseason games to consider

I'm no pro handicapper, just thought I'd share my rationale for a couple of possible plays.

Per Phil Steele, one of the most significant single factors in handicapping preseason football is if a...
Forum: Home Poker 08-16-2007, 08:56 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 100
Posted By iillllii
Re: Was this ruling correct?

[ QUOTE ]
The dealer's viewpoint is flat-out wrong, because it lets MP1 get away with seeing the rest of the hand without any risk of being busted. I'd say if it was a misunderstanding, hand...
Forum: Home Poker 08-16-2007, 08:47 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 100
Posted By iillllii
Was this ruling correct?

home poker game, freeze out tourney with 5 people left. MP1 is moderately shortstacked and raises before the flop, SB, who has him covered, is the only caller. Flop comes out, SB checks, MP1 bets...
Forum: Poker Theory 08-14-2007, 03:28 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 170
Posted By iillllii
Re: effective vs. implied

I believe that effective odds are the same as implied odds. tarheeljks is describing the difference between implied/effective odds and pot odds.

Unless there is a difference between effective...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 41

 
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