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Search: Posts Made By: imfatandugly
Forum: Probability 11-30-2007, 10:20 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 413
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: probability of n ties in a race to three (roshambo)

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thanks, sometimes I think phzon forgets that he isn't talking to grad students.


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I hope it doesn't take a graduate student to evaluate (n+2) choose 2, the most...
Forum: Probability 11-29-2007, 11:42 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 413
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: probability of n ties in a race to three (roshambo)

thanks, sometimes I think phzon forgets that he isn't talking to grad students. Is there an easy way to see this? Link to derivation...

phzon...when you look at problems like this are you like...
Forum: Probability 11-29-2007, 02:56 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 413
Posted By imfatandugly
probability of n ties in a race to three (roshambo)

Too lazy to figure this out. I was playing rock, paper scissors with a friend and had an improbable amount of ties. Given that two people randomly pick paper, rock, scissors what is the probability...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 09-29-2007, 12:36 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 160
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: Winrates at HU vs. 6-max NLCASH

I think if you want to make more than $100/hr. or want to become a better heads up player faster your better off playing heads up cash games.
Forum: Heads Up Poker 09-23-2007, 12:48 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 73
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: 1000nl- Check-raised on the river with baby full

I think theres a bunch of value in making it 750ish and folding to a 4bet considering how deep you are. I think he'll call with almost all 9's, some [censored] fullhouses, and almost never push with...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 09-18-2007, 11:19 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 57
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: What do I have?

in my experience this is almost never a 6 or a set. Most of the time I'd expect to see tk,ta,jj plus. Maybe 25 percent a flush draw w two overs/gutshot and ten percent air (aq, ak) figuring its...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 09-16-2007, 10:50 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 72
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: 400NLCASH a villain makes a lot of small bets - love him or hate h

hate them, for some reason i have alot of trouble with these guys. its very frustrating playing them
Forum: Heads Up Poker 09-15-2007, 09:07 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 85
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: NL CASH $200, KK vs villain who calls almost all 3b

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Check and call small bets only and fold to anything over 1/2 pot. Against any resonable player I would go with it but passives just dont make big bets without the...
Forum: Probability 09-14-2007, 09:34 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 63
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: how often will I end up up pos. In this staking agreement?

If he cashes for 430 on the first $215 tournament, I get .45*430.
So not just the profits. Its not a bad deal at all... If he has an ROI of 10%(?) i'll break even.
Forum: Probability 09-13-2007, 11:12 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 111
Posted By imfatandugly
Forum: Probability 09-13-2007, 03:57 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 111
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: Deconvolve luck from the game?

funny, this game makes it correct to call an allin with the nut low on the river sometimes. For example you have 2h3h on a board of 4h5hJQK after heavy betting on the flop and turn and your facing a...
Forum: Probability 09-13-2007, 03:51 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 63
Posted By imfatandugly
how often will I end up up pos. In this staking agreement?

I'm taking 45 percent of my friends action in the wsoop in the200, 215 rebuy, 500 and1000 Holden events for 50 percent of the buyins. I realize that the probability he does cash is 1- .9 to the...
Forum: Probability 09-11-2007, 02:22 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 72
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: functions of uncountably many variables

Thanks. Good explanation.

What would happen to Q if you adjoined uncountably many variables to it? Anything interesting?
Forum: Probability 09-10-2007, 11:30 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 72
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: functions of uncountably many variables

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It's possible to think of real functions as (uncountably) infinite-dimensional vectors. As such any function that maps real functions to something else is a function of infinitely many...
Forum: Probability 09-10-2007, 09:43 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 72
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: functions of uncountably many variables

Yes uncountably many independent variables as in infinately many but not in one to one correspondence qith the natural numbers. Yes i did not see how the der or integral were examples either...
Forum: Probability 09-09-2007, 05:06 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 72
Posted By imfatandugly
functions of uncountably many variables

is there such a thing? If there is could someone point me in the right direction
Forum: Heads Up Poker 08-29-2007, 06:07 AM
Replies: 45
Views: 211
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: $2200 HU turbo SNG full tilt

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Uh, 60% winrate is more than 5% ROI unless I'm retarded.

And a 60-40 should be taken at every level including the 6s. If you pass up on them you're an idiot, period.

(Not directed...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 08-26-2007, 08:36 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 80
Posted By imfatandugly
Forum: Heads Up Poker 08-25-2007, 09:17 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 75
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: NLCSH- 4 bet all in w/ 2nd pair?

against an unknown I like this more, for this guy...if its bad...its not really bad. You have a good chance of folding all Tx hands and are sticking your money in with the best of it when he does...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 08-19-2007, 05:08 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 66
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: $600 NL Cash

I like it, you minimize the amount you lose when he has 6x, maximize how much you win when he has Ax.
Forum: Heads Up Poker 08-18-2007, 04:04 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 89
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: Won $ at SD NLCASH

I'm at 46% over 100k hands at 1/2-3/6 with a winrate of about 7ptbb/100.
Forum: Heads Up Poker 08-13-2007, 03:07 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 78
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: NLCash (2/4) 3 bet bluff on turn good or bad?

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I think you're hoping he has total air here really. He could be raising you light there, but he led into you on the flop in a raised pot AND raised the turn on a board with tons of action...
Forum: Probability 08-12-2007, 10:08 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 74
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: chess question

i'd say queen knights pawn. fianchetto your bishop and castle on your king side.
Forum: Heads Up Poker 08-12-2007, 02:05 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 78
Posted By imfatandugly
Re: NLCash (2/4) 3 bet bluff on turn good or bad?

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with the amount he raised, he's not folding. if he had time to think about it, would he fold? maybe, but irl people don't checkraise that much and then fold anything that beats you
...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 08-11-2007, 11:33 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 78
Posted By imfatandugly
NLCash (2/4) 3 bet bluff on turn good or bad?

I haven't been playing out of line yet, or if i have, I haven't been caught. He is also playing pretty straight forward. Reraising good hands from bb and all that. How often do you think he has a...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 231

 
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