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Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 05:38 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 992
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?

[ QUOTE ]
no...I'm suggesting that thinking one has found that error with 2-pointer down 14 and that it hasn't been considered before is dumb...that model is severely flawed and demonstrates a huge...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-30-2007, 05:31 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 251
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Told you I was running bad

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assume we are villain, we have a straight or set. what is the most +EV river line against a TAG given the way the hand developed?

[/ QUOTE ]

Straight: shove.

Set: probably...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 05:27 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 992
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?

[ QUOTE ]
stats......hahahahhahahahahahahhaha... to combat what? The fake assumptions presented?

don't the ones trying to set up the model have to justify the stats they use

or is solving a...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 05:12 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 992
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?

[ QUOTE ]
i linked articles in the other thread

[/ QUOTE ]

I went to the lone article you cited in support of the 2 pt. conversion. It does not provide those stats; it provides the sentence I...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-30-2007, 05:06 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 175
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: 25nl 3betting light

[ QUOTE ]

I'm pretty sure the notion of betting to give yourself odds is flawed - the basic idea is that while the EV of making a call goes up if you bet more in the first place, you have to also...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 04:56 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 992
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?

[ QUOTE ]

I don't know how someone who can think logically wouldn't highly question all of those assumptions

[/ QUOTE ]

Questioning assumptions is good. There is an obvious assumption in...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-30-2007, 04:48 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 175
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: 25nl 3betting light

[ QUOTE ]

and you shouldn't be calling for implied odds when you have 100bbs, even if villain is deep, unless you're sure villain will stack off when you flop your flush and/or obvious straight. ...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 04:41 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 992
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?

[ QUOTE ]

didn't I show where the 2 pt conversion rate has been inversely related to the number of 2 pt attempts in a season?

[/ QUOTE ]

A link to a NYT article that contained the following...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-30-2007, 04:33 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 175
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: 25nl 3betting light

[ QUOTE ]

Flop play I'm basically willing to get it in with decent equity if he does have AA/KK/AK but I think his range is much wider, so I decide to bet enough to get QQ/JJ/TT/AQ etc to fold, as...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-30-2007, 04:29 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 251
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Told you I was running bad

I think this would be a pretty badass line to take with a big flush draw some of the time; I'm just not sure that a "standard TAG" is going to do so.
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-30-2007, 04:11 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 251
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Told you I was running bad

It's possible I'm being results oriented here, but it seems like this is deep enough that the idea of protecting your stack rather than your hand might be good.

If he's a standard TAG, what is he...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 03:22 PM
Replies: 87
Views: 992
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
LOL @ 'another'

the first one still rests on very questionable assumptions

[/ QUOTE ]
like?
Forum: EDF 11-30-2007, 12:20 PM
Replies: 80
Views: 1,072
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Ask Howard Treesong About Law or Lawyering

[ QUOTE ]
this is very me specific, but im hoping you could answer anyways:

My brother is debating between law schools and has a full preacceptance scholarship offer from GWU. If he accepts the...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 11-29-2007, 11:27 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 239
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Hypothetical CS type question...

[ QUOTE ]

*For the sake of the post, we can give 'meaningful' the definition of 'anything you can reasonably see someone wishing to program' So, obviously a very wide range of possible programs...
Forum: EDF 11-29-2007, 11:11 PM
Replies: 80
Views: 1,072
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Ask Howard Treesong About Law or Lawyering

To ask a less hijacky question than my first, what level of knowledge about the law should a random person have? If it's hard to give a broad answer here, what criteria cause you to adjust your...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-29-2007, 10:53 PM
Replies: 375
Views: 5,127
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: *****OFFICIAL DALLAS COWBOYS VS GREEN BAY PACKERS 11/29/07 THREAD*

[ QUOTE ]
The Wire's Lance Reddick was just doing a Cadillac commercial on wfan's stream.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, this isn't right.
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 11-29-2007, 10:35 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 118
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Electron radius-quantum

Expected value of the electron radius in what? Looking at your answer, I'm guessing it will be the hydrogen atom. If so, ANY book on QM will have the solution to this. Griffiths is a good...
Forum: EDF 11-29-2007, 10:29 PM
Replies: 80
Views: 1,072
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Ask Howard Treesong About Law or Lawyering

[ QUOTE ]

Let me also observe that I thought the vigilante situation was not clear cut. I do not think we should live in a society that permits theft or robbery without significant risk to the...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 11-29-2007, 10:27 PM
Replies: 106
Views: 1,149
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Is Neo-Atheism The Way to Go? [Poll]

[ QUOTE ]
There are very important issues at stake (stem-cell research comes to mind, as does abortion and birth control), where our leaders cannot admit to being guided by rational reasoning. A...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 11-29-2007, 07:47 PM
Replies: 106
Views: 1,149
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Is Neo-Atheism The Way to Go? [Poll]

[ QUOTE ]

Really? Well thats basically our entire approach to stop smoking, and it seems to be doing ok. I mean, sure, maybe 5% is based on education and providing alternatives but most of it is...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 11-29-2007, 07:42 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 145
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Antiderivative problem

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[ QUOTE ]

Hint: d/dx (ln u) = (du/dx)/u

[/ QUOTE ]

If you could explain and/or just plug the numbers in and show how you get an answer the money is on it's way.

[/ QUOTE ]
Forum: BBV4Life 11-29-2007, 07:39 PM
Replies: 57
Views: 615
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: hey have any of you guys ever heard of YouPorn

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[ QUOTE ]
search for ozawa on youporn for best azn porn. half white/half asian goddess

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She is one of the hottest azn porn stars I've seen but her movies all suck because...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 11-29-2007, 06:46 PM
Replies: 106
Views: 1,149
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Is Neo-Atheism The Way to Go? [Poll]

[ QUOTE ]

I know you'll laugh when I give these particular examples... but my wife and I watch Trading Spouses and Wifeswap semi-regularly. They've had several shows where an atheist or person...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 11-29-2007, 06:35 PM
Replies: 106
Views: 1,149
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: Is Neo-Atheism The Way to Go? [Poll]

[ QUOTE ]

Let me get this straight... That's not enough?! Being barred from gaining high office is acceptable to you? Would you accept this condition for gays, blacks, or any other group?

[/...
Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance 11-29-2007, 06:23 PM
Replies: 134
Views: 2,003
Posted By gumpzilla
Re: $43 million error at Party (screenshot)

[ QUOTE ]

Also: party taking the 25 bonus back is kinda lol.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, that's amazing.

I'm really surprised that they didn't just give you $500 or something like that,...
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