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Search: Posts Made By: Paul2432
Forum: STT Strategy 11-29-2007, 11:58 PM
Replies: 213
Views: 1,693
Posted By Paul2432
Re: 1-table S&Gs - your feedback requested

[ QUOTE ]
On top of the filters I mentioned before it would also be nice if the lobbies never opened if you registered for games from the main client window

[/ QUOTE ]

I like this idea.
...
Forum: Beginners Questions 11-22-2007, 12:10 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 51
Posted By Paul2432
Re: 2 questions about online poker

[ QUOTE ]
I'm from Canada but:

1. I think a lot of players are either using e-passport or Moneybookers to move money around from site to site. I personally use Moneybookers.

[/ QUOTE ]

The...
Forum: Probability 10-28-2007, 10:16 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 77
Posted By Paul2432
Re: Understanding normal distribution graphs

[ QUOTE ]
Since a normal distribution is continous the probability of getting any exact value is 0 (there are an infinite amount of possible outcomes).

[/ QUOTE ]

If the probability of any...
Forum: Beginners Questions 10-28-2007, 05:41 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 162
Posted By Paul2432
Re: Do you have the balls to fold AA?

[ QUOTE ]
Fold. Even if you're up against just a flush draw and just a straight draw + small pair for example, you're in a breakeven spot.




Board: 7c 6c 8s
Dead:

equity win tie ...
Forum: Psychology 10-11-2007, 09:45 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 57
Posted By Paul2432
Re: Online Tilt - The Silent Killer

Switching to the play money tables has worked for me.

Paul
Forum: Probability 09-29-2007, 01:55 AM
Replies: 22
Views: 124
Posted By Paul2432
Re: help on proving poker is not about luck

If you have MS Excel create a table with the following columns headings: Hands, Expected Win, Lower Limit, Upper Limit.

In the hands columns fill in 0-500,000 at 10,000 hand increments.

In the...
Forum: Omaha High 09-18-2007, 09:34 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 70
Posted By Paul2432
Re: UTG pot raise, what do we suspect?

I thinks this depends a lot on the number of players. In a 6-max game a UTG raise can be any decent hand.

Paul
Forum: Probability 09-18-2007, 12:55 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 91
Posted By Paul2432
Re: Can sum1 who doesn\'t suck at math tell me if I\'m doin it rite?

[ QUOTE ]
OK, I am figuring out the probability that my opponent who holds a random hand has a pair of kings or queens on this board:

Preflop: Hero is CO with T/images/graemlins/diamond.gif,...
Forum: Probability 09-07-2007, 07:32 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 190
Posted By Paul2432
Re: The Optimal Shuffle

I don't have an answer to your question, but can offer two suggestions:

1) For home games, use two decks with different color backs. The cards for the next deal can be shuffled while the current...
Forum: Small Stakes 09-06-2007, 10:57 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 21
Posted By Paul2432
Flush draw: 2nd barrel vs free card

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format:...
Forum: STT Strategy 08-31-2007, 11:47 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 63
Posted By Paul2432
Re: $60 Turbo- Level 8- AK in BB versus big stack

I'm in the minority here, but I call. If I miss the flop I check-fold. If I hit and A or K, I check raise all-in. If this opponent is really passive, the hand could even get checked down. I think...
Forum: Probability 08-31-2007, 01:36 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 84
Posted By Paul2432
Re: Calculating prize distribution

You don't. You come up with some distribution that you think will appeal to the players and use that. The only requirement is the total add up to 100% and the payouts decrease from 1st through...
Forum: Probability 08-31-2007, 01:26 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 54
Posted By Paul2432
Re: Risk of ruin question

Calculate a z-score that corresponds to losing 20B. This can be done as follows:

z = -(20+(WR)(n))/((S.D)(n^0.5)

RoR = NORMSDIST(z)

Where:

n=hours played
WR=hourly winrate
Forum: Probability 08-28-2007, 12:33 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 129
Posted By Paul2432
Re: how much money needed to give away X amount of prizes??

This depends on the BJ rules used. Often BJ parties like this use rules highly favorable to the player (BJ pays 2:1, generous splitting and double down, etc). Without knowing the rules used the...
Forum: Probability 08-22-2007, 10:51 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 79
Posted By Paul2432
Re: Worst BBJ winner

3s2s

For example, 3s2s on a board 4s5s6sTcQd vs 7s8s.

Paul
Forum: Probability 08-21-2007, 11:06 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 91
Posted By Paul2432
Re: How to do simple Trend Analysis?

This question is a hypothesis rather than trend analyis. You can do this in MS Excel, but you'll need to install the data analysis tool pack (you'll likely need the office CDs). You'll also need...
Forum: Probability 08-21-2007, 12:43 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 53
Posted By Paul2432
Re: Friend doesn\'t believe risk of ruin calcs are possible, thoughts?

"e" is the base of the natural logarithm.

Your friend may be overlooking a common trap. Any downswing is possible, and the more you play, the larger downswing you might experience. Think about...
Forum: Poker Theory 08-02-2007, 09:55 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 307
Posted By Paul2432
Re: Bases for Bankroll Recommendations?

A couple of additional points to consider:

1) The 300BB rule assumes you bankroll accumulates. If you consistantly cash down to 300BB you will eventually go broke. Think of flipping coins and...
Forum: Poker Theory 07-28-2007, 10:31 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 343
Posted By Paul2432
Re: online play: sng vs ring

[ QUOTE ]
Anyways, I think ring is the way to have the best of it, rakeback, table selection. but we'll see.

[/ QUOTE ]

The reason you have more rakeback in ring games is because you pay...
Forum: STT Strategy 07-27-2007, 01:40 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 113
Posted By Paul2432
Re: $60 - L2 AQs - it is too late to fold preflop

[ QUOTE ]
If nobody has much of anything, you win the small pot on the turn instead of the river, so what's the point of betting? Knock out draws, I suppose, but really I'm more than happy to take...
Forum: STT Strategy 07-26-2007, 09:55 PM
Replies: 137
Views: 466
Posted By Paul2432
Re: Why is SNG rake so high?

I've read the whole thread, and one thing people are overlooking is there is some historical precedent.

Before the ban, Stars offered $5+0.50 STTs while Party offered $5+1. If the theory is...
Forum: Poker Theory 07-26-2007, 12:29 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 120
Posted By Paul2432
Re: is it better to fold pre-flop in an easy game w/ jacks?

In a cash game, the idea that there will be a "better spot" later is a terrible rational for making a play. You should make whatever play is most profitable in a given situation regardless of what...
Forum: STT Strategy 07-25-2007, 03:18 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 53
Posted By Paul2432
Re: common to have this much of a br swing???

[ QUOTE ]
ok my last question on this topic is.....is it possible to build a good br from low limit sngs or am i banging my head against the wall for no reason?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes it is possible....
Forum: Poker Legislation 07-12-2007, 02:14 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 71
Posted By Paul2432
Re: FTP\'s $5k checks = structuring?

I thought "structuring" only applied to cash transactions. That is structuring your transactions to avoid a CTR and paper trail. A check already leaves a paper trail.

Am I missing something?
...
Forum: Internet Gambling 07-06-2007, 07:17 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 88
Posted By Paul2432
Re: Stars 5400 FPP tournaments

Another benefit of the 5400 FPP sats is that you get the T$ immediately. If you play a lot with a healthy bankroll I suppose it doesn't matter, but if you need a bankroll boost it's nice to get the...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 168

 
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