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Search: Posts Made By: trixtrix
Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 08:09 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 2,157
Posted By trixtrix
Re: the proof is in the pudding

[ QUOTE ]
put me down @ -150 giving op a chance to win 6k more

[/ QUOTE ]

actually i retract my offer, i didn't read p.o's offer correctly; for some reason i keep reading 62% throughout this...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 01:41 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 2,157
Posted By trixtrix
Re: the proof is in the pudding

put me down @ -150 giving op a chance to win 6k more
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 06:20 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 330
Posted By trixtrix
Re: Insightful Betting Lines

when the revolution comes, you won't be spared
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 03:55 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 330
Posted By trixtrix
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 03:46 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 330
Posted By trixtrix
Re: Insightful Betting Lines

i'm going w/ gut
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 07:12 PM
Replies: 45
Views: 441
Posted By trixtrix
Re: Wong Teasers, Week 12

[ QUOTE ]
If you are this good at predicting line movements, teasers aren't the best way to take advantage of that skill. If this is the point you're getting at, I'm sorry?

[/ QUOTE ]

what do...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 06:58 PM
Replies: 45
Views: 441
Posted By trixtrix
Re: Wong Teasers, Week 12

[ QUOTE ]

So in summation, your feelings are that all teasers should be done whenever you see them without regard for sharpening numbers?

Great. What a novel and +EV idea.

[/ QUOTE ]

uh...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 03:31 PM
Replies: 45
Views: 441
Posted By trixtrix
Re: Wong Teasers, Week 12

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
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anyone betting teasers earlier this week would've gotten nyg-7, jax-7.5, and carolina+3...

you have a lot to learn

[/ QUOTE ]
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 02:58 PM
Replies: 45
Views: 441
Posted By trixtrix
Re: Wong Teasers, Week 12

no this is result oriented thinking, the price you pay up front for the teaser is the up-front premium/sunk cost you can never get back. sure if by kickoff the line is +3.5 and you teased them at +3...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 02:39 PM
Replies: 45
Views: 441
Posted By trixtrix
Re: Wong Teasers, Week 12

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
anyone betting teasers earlier this week would've gotten nyg-7, jax-7.5, and carolina+3...

you have a lot to learn

[/ QUOTE ]

Is this some sort of sick level?
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 05:19 AM
Replies: 45
Views: 441
Posted By trixtrix
Re: Wong Teasers, Week 12

[ QUOTE ]
You may laugh at Daliman, but the records speak for itself. He is pozzing optimal play. Next time you see a guy at the craps table betting the pass line and taking full odds. Laugh in his...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 03:55 AM
Replies: 55
Views: 723
Posted By trixtrix
Re: Here is a great idea on how to beat bookies

obv this method is +ev and profitable. the prob is that it is useless to 99% of us who don't have access to a local bookie who's dumber than mud..

as others have mentioned, this idea is simply a...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 03:42 AM
Replies: 45
Views: 441
Posted By trixtrix
Re: Wong Teasers, Week 12

[ QUOTE ]
LOL at anyone who thinks they can find Wongs. Anyone betting before Daliman posts probably has 0% chance of winning.

Patiently Waiting

[/ QUOTE ]

i agree, i'm still waiting...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-20-2007, 10:08 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 273
Posted By trixtrix
Re: help me become a professional

[ QUOTE ]
Haha. Trix is *pwned*.

[/ QUOTE ]

*pwnt*
Forum: Sports Betting 11-16-2007, 09:42 PM
Replies: 81
Views: 411
Posted By trixtrix
Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79

[ QUOTE ]
There's a lot I DON'T know about Houston. But from what I DO know about Thiago, I think the assumptions I made are at least fair and lead to this fight being between a 50/50 to 60/40...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-16-2007, 09:26 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 273
Posted By trixtrix
Re: help me become a professional

[ QUOTE ]

Some questions:

2. Would a guy who is a fantasy expert (say in NBA), be able to profitably beat the sport?

I ask this question because personally I don't think many of these...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-16-2007, 09:14 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 273
Posted By trixtrix
Re: help me become a professional

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Thremp, serious question:

As someone who has been semi-interested in learning how to profitably sports bet, mogwai's post above seems to make sense to me. Can you explain...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-07-2007, 06:57 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 394
Posted By trixtrix
Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend

ding ding ding!

someone who actually bothered to research before speaking..

NOW HUSH
Forum: Sports Betting 10-07-2007, 04:04 AM
Replies: 34
Views: 394
Posted By trixtrix
Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend

think about the entire post very carefully, he's saying the 3 is worth significantly less to a -8 fav than to a -4 fav
Forum: Sports Betting 10-07-2007, 03:40 AM
Replies: 34
Views: 394
Posted By trixtrix
Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend

random guess then, figured
Forum: Sports Betting 10-07-2007, 03:24 AM
Replies: 34
Views: 394
Posted By trixtrix
Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend

[ QUOTE ]
Forgot to add, the second 3 is not worth as much as the first. That is to say, a ~3 pt fav wins by 3 more often than loses by 3.

[/ QUOTE ]

do you have data to support this or is...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-07-2007, 02:39 AM
Replies: 43
Views: 285
Posted By trixtrix
Re: Peters v. McCline

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i've seen one of the sharpest bettors anywhere write that he doesn't bet moneyline favorites of -200 or more, ever. there is so little profit to be found in them. the vast majority of...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-06-2007, 04:16 PM
Replies: 43
Views: 285
Posted By trixtrix
Re: Boxing Weekend of 10/5 - 10/7: Golota v. McBride

[ QUOTE ]
Andrew Golota -373
Kevin McBride +343

Total Rounds: 5.5
OVER -112
UNDER +102

Fist off let me say, Yuck. I don't want to watch or think about either of these fighters. Golota is...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-06-2007, 03:50 PM
Replies: 373
Views: 3,146
Posted By trixtrix
Re: *** Official August - October Chatter Thread ***

i can't answer that question without the fear of being shot, if you're smart you'd edit out your post and never ask it again..
Forum: Sports Betting 10-06-2007, 03:25 AM
Replies: 373
Views: 3,146
Posted By trixtrix
Re: *** Official August - October Chatter Thread ***

[ QUOTE ]
So I was trying to figure out a way to take advantage of 5 dimes shading NFL lines to prevent teasers. Why can't we tease them the opposite way?

Here is a possible theory, I am...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 326

 
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