Forum: Micro Stakes
11-30-2007, 01:42 PM
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Replies: 22
Views: 248
Re: Street by street analysis of a marginal hand
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Preflop, we can assume that 1010 is ahead of a not very good players range. Lets assign him a minraising a range of 22+, k10+, q10+ and A8+. This is a simplistic range, and a loose...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
11-12-2007, 03:59 PM
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Replies: 9
Views: 42
Help me with an overpair vs semideepstacked LAG
Villain is 35/21/5.7 over 102 hands. My stats are taggy (19/15/3 ish)
Vs someone with a lower Aggression Factor, I would probably fold on the river(if not on the turn, but this guy is incredibly...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
11-05-2007, 02:20 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 31
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Forum: Micro Stakes
11-04-2007, 09:32 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 31
Need some help with turned TPTK + nut flush draw
This is villians 3rd hand since sitting so no reads.
This was the last hand of a session for me, I was tired, and I have to admit, I didnt really put villian on a range while playing the hand. On...
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Forum: High Stakes
10-05-2007, 12:19 PM
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Replies: 61
Views: 256
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Forum: Medium Stakes
09-26-2007, 11:03 AM
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Replies: 5
Views: 30
Re: Can we trust our stats?
How many hands it takes to get a comfort level for VPIP and PFR is dependent on how high their VPIP and PFR are.
If someone has a VPIP of 75, you can see it with pretty good confidence after 20-30...
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Forum: High Stakes
09-18-2007, 10:14 AM
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Replies: 401
Views: 2,432
Re: HSNL [censored] thread SEPTEMBER
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i guess i got lucky, or dell's slow shipping is a new thing. a month ago i ordered an inspiron(notebook) and got it within a week.
[/ QUOTE ]
FWIW, of the 6-8 dells I have ordered...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
09-11-2007, 04:00 PM
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Replies: 21
Views: 248
Re: NL25 - easy fold??
He raises 4.5% of hands PF and likely rarely bluffs with an aggression factor of 1.6. Hes not 4betting AK or AQ. Unless you have a major read, hes got KK or AA and hes not folding.
You have...
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Forum: Omaha High
09-06-2007, 05:20 PM
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Replies: 17
Views: 87
Re: bad play by me need coments...
I'm an Omaha newbie, but one thing that stands out to me on this hand is that on the turn, there are a metric F-ton of scare cards that will fall on the river and beat your straight.
There are...
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Forum: Brick and Mortar
08-16-2007, 02:49 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 47
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Forum: Micro Stakes
08-01-2007, 11:41 PM
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Replies: 1
Views: 26
TPTK faces resistance on turn
Villian is pretty new to table, I only have 40 hands on him. Villian is 26/9/1.0
I considered checking the turn for pot control, but decided against it after he flat called the flop (J9, JK), so I...
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Forum: News, Views, and Gossip
06-21-2007, 10:08 AM
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Replies: 17
Views: 80
Re: pa and zigmund flip for 40K
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Obviously playing him is more negative EV than flipping. They flipped 3 times for 80k... it was a draw
[/ QUOTE ]
How can you get a draw flipping 3 times? Different stakes?
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Forum: Micro Stakes
06-16-2007, 12:45 PM
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Replies: 9
Views: 74
Re: KQs goes bad twice in one night.
Ugh
Didnt notice that. See below
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
06-16-2007, 11:44 AM
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Replies: 9
Views: 74
KQs goes bad twice in one night.
Villian in hand 1 is 56/4.7/0.35. I am running 21/15/2.0. Earlier in the night, I shoved all in (100BB) in a 10BB pot with a flush draw vs a villian who had 16 BB left, not realizing there was...
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Forum: News, Views, and Gossip
05-21-2007, 03:19 PM
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Replies: 46
Views: 388
Re: Why is Benyamine such a loser in HSNL?
For accuracy's sake, I believe magicpitch1, ballsrider, and
davidbenyamine1 are also accounts that DB used before he became a FT pro and was limited to 1 account.
He's down considerably in...
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Forum: Omaha High
05-04-2007, 11:11 AM
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Replies: 12
Views: 88
Re: A few basic spots
On hand 2, do you fold to any non-board pairing river (every other card in the deck completes a straight)? If so, wouldn't taking a free card with a check behind on the turn be more +ev?
Keep...
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Forum: Omaha High
05-04-2007, 10:46 AM
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Replies: 15
Views: 80
Re: Big Reraise on Flop
On the flop, vs a dry top set you are 60/40 underdog, worst case scenario (top set + 46) you still have 28% pot equity. I think flop call of the reraise is ok, although it would be nice if your...
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Forum: News, Views, and Gossip
04-18-2007, 09:48 AM
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Replies: 85
Views: 310
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Forum: High Stakes
03-26-2007, 12:58 PM
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Replies: 132
Views: 549
Re: Jman article in Bluff
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I don't think you understand what "the ultimate long run" means.
[/ QUOTE ]
Yes I do. There's still no guarantee it will even out completely. It will however even out...
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Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance
03-06-2007, 05:25 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 40
Re: BRAG: 4 Sets and Three Losses
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And in 1315 hands I only got AA/KK 10 times
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Odds of getting AA or KK is 12 ways / 1326 hands = 0.9%
Expected AA or KK hands for 1315 hands is 1315 X 0.00905 = 11.9...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
02-19-2007, 01:00 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 37
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Forum: Micro Stakes
02-19-2007, 12:12 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 27
KK facing heat on QQx board.
I just swapped over to Full Tilt to give it a try. Villian is running 43/5/1.0 over 164 hands and seems to have played back at me a lot (although I always think people are playing back at my...
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Forum: Televised Poker
02-13-2007, 03:36 PM
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Replies: 169
Views: 648
Re: \"Official\" High Stakes Poker thread (2/12)
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I really hope that when Jamie bet 2k on the turn that Brian knew Jamie was bluffing and was drawing dead and that the only way he could get money out of it was if he just checked and hoped...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
02-09-2007, 03:27 PM
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Replies: 72
Views: 380
Re: Defending Your Blinds
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Against an unknown, with a player to act behind me, I wince and fold.
A few thoughts:
<font color="blue">1. Being ahead of villain's range is largely irrelevant.</font> We're not...
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Forum: Heads Up Poker
02-09-2007, 12:29 PM
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Replies: 1
Views: 57
Am I a HU Nit? Converted HH included
Lately I have been playing 6 max more than full ring, and quite often people leave the table and it goes shorthanded. I was up against a player last night that didn't seem very good, but played very...
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