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Forum: Sports Betting 11-30-2007, 07:36 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 955
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: When Bookies Make Big Line Errors

[ QUOTE ]
Carl, did I misunderstand your OP? Didn't THIS bookie find a bad line from another bookie, bet it, and then inform him of the bad line? You can't go wrong, or even offend him if you did...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-30-2007, 07:31 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 955
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: When Bookies Make Big Line Errors

Apparently I'm clueless. The vast majority of my plays I've made this year I've had better lines than anywhere available online.

I've basically had 2 horrible weeks this year, 0-8 and 2-7, that...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-30-2007, 07:14 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 955
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: When Bookies Make Big Line Errors

[ QUOTE ]
Henry,

Interesting. From what I gather the OP is a probably a losing sports bettor and brings in other squares. In this case I'd probably take a shot at the line 100% or if I have other...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-30-2007, 06:42 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 955
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: When Bookies Make Big Line Errors

I'll address a few things here:

-- I expect him to have no problem staying liquid. A large chunk of his clientele are car salesmen, who are notorious for being degenerate gamblers. None of his...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-30-2007, 03:30 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 955
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: When Bookies Make Big Line Errors

[ QUOTE ]
Allow me to answer your question with a question:

My bookie dropped his wallet. I picked it up. It contains thousands of dollars.

Should I return it?

For what it's worth, I'm...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-30-2007, 01:52 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 955
Posted By CarlSpackler
When Bookies Make Big Line Errors

I'm curious as to what the appropriate action is when your local bookie makes a huge line error. A friend of mine is a local book. Several weeks back, another bookie he knows came out with a...
Forum: Sporting Events 10-18-2007, 06:23 PM
Replies: 43
Views: 170
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: ESPN\'s new show E:60 (2 thumbs down!)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]


However, Nichols didn't follow up enough on how it is near impossible to follow Dr. Bob anymore and win. The lines move way too fast.

[/ QUOTE ]

Fwiw,...
Forum: Sporting Events 10-18-2007, 04:39 PM
Replies: 43
Views: 170
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: ESPN\'s new show E:60 (2 thumbs down!)

[ QUOTE ]


However, Nichols didn't follow up enough on how it is near impossible to follow Dr. Bob anymore and win. The lines move way too fast. The only way to win is to take the opposite side...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-10-2007, 11:58 AM
Replies: 182
Views: 655
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: $$$ NCAA Saturday Games Thread $$$

Would it be possible that something as say moving from the standard 11 game schedule to a 12 game schedule in the cfb regular season would be enough to throw off Dr. Bob's model significantly? I was...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-09-2007, 01:02 PM
Replies: 182
Views: 655
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: $$$ NCAA Saturday Games Thread $$$

An explanation from our good friend Dr. Bob:


[ QUOTE ]
This has truly been the stangest season of college football I can remember, as top 10 teams are dropping games on a regular basis and I've...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-08-2007, 01:32 PM
Replies: 182
Views: 655
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: $$$ NCAA Saturday Games Thread $$$

A disastrous week for Dr. Bob and his followers:

4* UCLA - loss
3* GTech - loss
3* Georgia - loss
3* Nebraska - loss
3* Florida - win
2* Mich. St. - loss
2* Rutgers - loss
2* Arizona - loss
Forum: Sports Betting 10-05-2007, 04:36 PM
Replies: 182
Views: 655
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: $$$ NCAA Saturday Games Thread $$$

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Rather than picking an entire year to tank, wouldn't Dr. Bob be better off just picking the wrong side on a couple games each week ...

Even if the subscriber fees are...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-05-2007, 12:39 PM
Replies: 182
Views: 655
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: $$$ NCAA Saturday Games Thread $$$

[ QUOTE ]
Naj- Do you have Dr Bob's writeup for the Auburn game?

[/ QUOTE ]

Strong Opinion
AUBURN (-7.5) 28 Vanderbilt 14
09:30 AM Pacific, 06-Oct-07
Auburn is coming off a huge upset win...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-05-2007, 12:15 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 329
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/07/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

[ QUOTE ]
is 8.5 for Tenn a little high or just right?

[/ QUOTE ]

The line is pretty accurate, imo, maybe a 1/2 point too high. While I think the gig is up on Tennessee, with the public...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-03-2007, 02:54 PM
Replies: 80
Views: 331
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL

If you're betting every nfl game, you will almost certainly be a long term loser. The numbers for the sides/totals of most nfl games are pretty accurate, and usually not far enough off the true line...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-01-2007, 03:29 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 94
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: Dr.Bob\'s 9/28-10/1 Selections

He's always maintained that he bets all his best bets, with each * being worth one unit. Who knows how much he bets per unit, could be like $11, lol. Strong opinions he doesn't play. His record is...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-27-2007, 06:19 PM
Replies: 53
Views: 217
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: this is how i do it

Didn't someone on this forum actually do this with the scraps left in their online sportsbook last year? IIRC, they had success, but chickened out once they got to the larger bets.
Forum: Sports Betting 09-26-2007, 12:03 PM
Replies: 69
Views: 570
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: *** OFFICIAL 9/30/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

[ QUOTE ]

GB @ MN -1.5 - I know it's the obvious line to jump on, but how can you resist when the team just clobbered the Chargers and is looking like a solid defensive team.

PIT @ AZ -6 -...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-25-2007, 12:43 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 398
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: Pitt -6 at Arizona...

People who are pimping Pitt right now are already late to the party. There's absolutely no value on Pitt -6/-7, as that's about where the line should be.

I have Arizona and SF ranked pretty...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-25-2007, 12:30 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 105
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: Steelers - 49ers

This game went pretty much as I expected. Alex Smith actually played a little better than I thought he would for most of the game, but in the 4th quarter, with Pitt covering but still vulnerable to...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-23-2007, 11:34 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 161
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: MyTurn\'s NFL picks

[ QUOTE ]
I kinda hate the 49ers-Steelers analysis. I don't really expect it to be that close in the 4th Qtr but if it is I don't see why a seasoned team like Pit is going to choke on themselves. ...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-21-2007, 04:38 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 105
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: Steelers - 49ers

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[ QUOTE ]
I think the 49ers are quasi-fool's gold right now. They're 2-0, but could of easily lost each of their first 2 games, which were both decided in the final seconds. Granted, SF...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-21-2007, 02:14 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 84
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: Titans vs Saints, toughts?

It's not uncommon for teams on the decline to be given too much credit early in the season when they're at home. We saw this last week with every home favorite who lost on the road in week 1, lost...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-21-2007, 12:07 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 105
Posted By CarlSpackler
Steelers - 49ers

I'm really liking the Steelers at home, -8.5 vs. the 49ers. Pit is the one elite team that has flown way under the radar -- everyone in the preseason was like "will indy repeat?" "the pats are...
Forum: EDF 09-18-2007, 06:03 PM
Replies: 205
Views: 1,442
Posted By CarlSpackler
Re: Obsolete Skills

I used to be an expert at pumping gas so the total always landed on an even $$$ amount. Now everywhere is prepay, so it's an obsolete skill.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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