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Forum: STT Strategy 11-21-2007, 02:14 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 94
Posted By Shillx
Re: $200: Contemplating overcall ITM in BB A9o 3-6 w/ 4k vs 12k,3k

Yeah and call with A8 too. Also hands like 33, Q9s and JTs.
Forum: STT Strategy 10-19-2007, 03:03 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 107
Posted By Shillx
Re: $114 - weird bubble shortiness

Sorry took too many drugs last night. It is tough to say with your stack but it is probably better to fold as long as they won't prolong the bubble. If you had 11 more chips you could fold this hand...
Forum: STT Strategy 10-19-2007, 02:47 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 107
Posted By Shillx
Re: $114 - weird bubble shortiness

With t975 you need to push. Fold if you have > t985.
Forum: Micro Stakes Limit 10-12-2007, 05:41 PM
Replies: 18
A4s
Views: 146
Posted By Shillx
Re: A4s

I'd bet the turn. Probably bet the flop too.
Forum: STT Strategy 10-09-2007, 02:10 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 64
Posted By Shillx
Re: $225: TP + flush draw

[ QUOTE ]
I like the play. Another flush draw is unlikely to call because they're odds are poor and if they do call your pair and and the fact you have two of their outs makes you a favourite. You...
Forum: Micro Stakes Limit 10-07-2007, 02:21 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 272
Posted By Shillx
Re: QJo from SB in color

8-handed you say?

The BB is usually going to have a big hand so I'd usually just check/call the flop for one bet. But if UTG raises you have to make it 3 bets. I'm not that big on leading.
Forum: Micro Stakes Limit 10-05-2007, 12:32 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 79
Posted By Shillx
Re: KTs is a lot like JTs

I don't get the flop bet but I like it after that. I love leading into PFR's in general but it rarely makes sense with top pair imho
Forum: Micro Stakes Limit 10-03-2007, 06:30 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 93
Posted By Shillx
Re: preflop decision w/ TT

Cap if you think the CO might fold. Call otherwise
Forum: STT Strategy 10-03-2007, 05:27 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 78
Posted By Shillx
Re: $114 bubble 2 shawtys here

It's close with the J6s and no you shouldn't call with ATC. I'm making some assumptions but your real fold equity figures to be between 11.5-12.0%* and the 26% call/win EV is too ambitious (I don't...
Forum: STT Strategy 10-02-2007, 03:12 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 74
Posted By Shillx
Forum: Micro Stakes Limit 09-28-2007, 12:50 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 95
Posted By Shillx
Re: Pocket pairs play themselves...pfff

It's just a simple math problem. Pot is 7.75 bets and you have 3.5 outs. Fold. The turn bet sucks though imo.
Forum: STT Strategy 09-27-2007, 01:21 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 61
Posted By Shillx
Re: FTP $24 - do we shove?

Sure any pair is good here
Forum: STT Strategy 09-26-2007, 11:28 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 61
Posted By Shillx
Re: PS $60 - L1 calling a preflop raise with AQ

Seems fine though you are probably [censored]. Play AK this way as well imo. I mean I'd fold PF & the turn but the theory is the same. Pushing AI on the river would just be retarded unless you were...
Forum: Micro Stakes Limit 09-26-2007, 05:44 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 140
Posted By Shillx
Re: Sushi discovers a leak

Check/raise the river
Forum: Small Stakes Limit 09-26-2007, 04:27 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 134
Posted By Shillx
Forum: STT Strategy 09-26-2007, 01:29 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 192
Posted By Shillx
Re: $27 15/30 Hit Set Villain Shoves Turn Can I Call to Ship It?

The villain has TPGK or random two pairs most of the time and he's calling your push like always.

If by random two pairs you really mean a straight then I totally agree. You have to go with it...
Forum: STT Strategy 09-24-2007, 02:13 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 148
Posted By Shillx
Re: $200: Dumping 99 at 1-2 with 10bbs to utg shorty and utg+1 reshove

Posting some tough hands here. My model says to fold #1 but it has a lot of problems. It's probably a close call when you add everything up. Hand 2 is a clear call with the read but I'd call no...
Forum: Micro Stakes Limit 09-23-2007, 02:02 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 138
Posted By Shillx
Re: hand against me: 77

Call down. Our hand is face up at this point.
Forum: Micro Stakes Limit 09-22-2007, 01:40 AM
Replies: 38
Views: 156
Posted By Shillx
Re: JJ in interesting capped pot situation against 2+2er....

What does AK beat?

Board: Kd 9s 5d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 29.970% 09.91% 20.06% 17066 34560.00 { AKs, AKo }
Hand 1: 70.030% ...
Forum: Micro Stakes Limit 09-22-2007, 01:26 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 128
Posted By Shillx
Re: My inner calling station lives....

[ QUOTE ]
Your hand is not strong enough to induce a bluff. What does he think you have? He thinks you have AK and is firing away his 99 or bluffing himself with an ace rag. Don't let him catch a...
Forum: Micro Stakes Limit 09-21-2007, 04:03 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 156
Posted By Shillx
Re: JJ in interesting capped pot situation against 2+2er....

I don't mind getting check/raised at all. All non-pairing /images/graemlins/diamond.gif outs are good and we can just fold the river UI. At this point his most likely hand is AK but we still have to...
Forum: STT Strategy 09-18-2007, 03:40 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 55
Posted By Shillx
Re: 30+3: 55 against equal stack with SS in UTG

This is ITM, correct? Push is +EV against all ranges.
Forum: Micro Stakes Limit 09-18-2007, 03:22 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 364
Posted By Shillx
Re: JJ would you have played it differently?

Gotta bet the river (you might not get called but your hand is almost always good). Checking the river might be best against a good/tricky player that will (sometimes) check a boss hand twice but an...
Forum: Micro Stakes Limit 09-17-2007, 12:03 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 202
Posted By Shillx
Re: JJ hits set and it\'s cap-tastic. When do we back off?

Well bet-call almost certainly isn't correct /images/graemlins/tongue.gif
Forum: STT Strategy 09-15-2007, 03:11 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 433
Posted By Shillx
Re: PS 60$ - AK hits top pair vs a regular

[ QUOTE ]
you should've raised the flop to find out where you're at

[/ QUOTE ]

Why not do this with 44 or something? You almost certainly need to fold against a re-raise and you don't figure...
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